Free MLB Picks Today: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 5/21/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles 5/21/23
Sun 21st May 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (25-21) host the Baltimore Orioles (30-16) at Rogers Centre on Sunday with the visitors in position to sweep the three-game series.

The Orioles lead the series 2-0 after winning 6-5 in 10 innings on Saturday. Felix Bautista threw two scoreless innings in relief to get the win.

Ryan O’Hearn was 3 for 5 with a home run and four RBIs in the win. Adam Frazier went 3 for 4 with a triple and two runs. Santiago Espinal went 3 for 3 with a double and one run for the Blue Jays. George Springer added a home run, two runs, and three RBIs.

ON THE MOUND

Dean Kremer (5-1, 4.97 ERA) is set to start for Baltimore. The righty is tied for fourth in the AL in wins. Kremer allowed three runs over 5.2 innings in his last start, a 7-3 home win over the Angels on Tuesday.

He was credited with the win, giving up six hits while striking out four. Kremer is making his first appearance against the Blue Jays this season. Over four appearances (three starts) against the Blue Jays in 2022, Kremer was 1-2 with a 3.38 ERA over 24 innings.

He had 16 strikeouts and nine walks. Righty Kevin Gausman (2-3, 3.38 ERA) will toe the rubber for Toronto. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Orioles.

Gausman made two appearances against the Orioles in 2022, both as the starter, striking out nine and walking one over nine innings (1-1, 7.00).

In his last start on Tuesday, Gausman took a no-decision at home against the Yankees. He threw seven innings and gave up three runs (2 ER) on five hits, striking out 10 and walking two in the 6-3 loss. The righty leads the AL in strikeouts (77).

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Baltimore has averaged 5.4 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 5.0. Against righties like Gausman this season, the O’s have a .735 OPS.

Adley Rutschman is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a .895 OPS in 103 at-bats. Toronto is averaging only 3.0 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.6 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.240/.303/.363).

The Jays have a .731 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .886 OPS over 133 at-bats, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Baltimore is 15-8 away from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in 2023, scoring 5.7 runs per game while allowing 4.7 runs. Toronto has lost three in a row at Rogers Centre.

The Jays are 13-8 at home this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game while surrendering 3.4. In the last 10 games at Rogers Centre between the AL East rivals, Baltimore is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 5.1-4.3.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Orioles are second in the AL East, three games behind the division-leading Rays. The Blue Jays are fourth in the AL East, seven games behind the Rays.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Toronto Blue Jays (-185)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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