Free MLB Picks Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets 6/25/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets 6/25/23
Sun 25th June 2023

The New York Mets (35-41) is on the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies (39-37) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday with the three-game series tied at 1-1. The Mets evened up the series 1-1 after winning 4-2 on Saturday, their fourth head-to-head victory in five games this season.

Max Scherzer went six innings, allowing two runs on seven hits and striking out eight, to get the win, and David Robertson pitched 1.2 scoreless innings to earn his 11th save.

Starling Marte was 2 for 4 with a home run and two runs in the win. Luis Guillorme added a triple and one run. Nick Castellanos went 3 for 3 with a solo home run for the Phillies.

ON THE MOUND

Carlos Carrasco (2-3, 6.34 ERA) is in line to start for New York. The RHP allowed six runs (five earned) over three innings in his last start, an 8-7 road defeat against the Cardinals on June 18.

He scattered five hits while striking out four and walking three in the no-decision. Carrasco has made one previous start against the Phillies this season, a 4-1 home victory on May 31.

He surrendered one run on six hits over six innings, striking out four and walking one. For Philadelphia, RHP Zack Wheeler (6-4, 3.48 ERA) will take the mound.

It’s his first appearance of the season against the Mets. Wheeler made four appearances against the Mets in 2022, all as the starter, striking out 21 and walking nine over 22 innings (0-3, 4.91).

In his last start on June 18, Wheeler got the win on the road against the Athletics. He threw six scoreless innings and gave up six hits, striking out four and walking two in the 3-2 victory.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, New York has averaged 5.2 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.5. Against righties like Wheeler this season, the Mets have a .718 OPS.

Pete Alonso is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .862 OPS in 176 at-bats. Philadelphia is averaging only 2.6 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.3 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.236/.292/.309).

The Phils have a .744 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .848 OPS over 157 at-bats, Brandon Marsh has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

New York is 18-26 in away games in 2023, scoring 4.7 runs per game while allowing 5.0 runs. Philadelphia has gone 20-14 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game while surrendering 3.8. In the last 10 games between the NL East rivals at Citizens Bank Park, New York is 7-3 with an average scoreline of 5.6-4.1.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Mets are fourth in the NL East, 14 games behind the division-leading Braves. The Phillies are third in the NL East, nine games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Philadelphia Phillies (-175)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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