Free MLB Picks Today: Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers 6/10/23

The Philadelphia Phillies (31-32) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (36-28) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The Phillies took Friday’s series opener 5-4, their sixth straight victory overall and first in four games against the Dodgers this season.

Reliever Gregory Soto was credited with the win after throwing one scoreless inning. Kyle Schwarber went 2 for 3 with a home run and a triple in the win. He scored three runs. J.D. Martinez was 2 for 3 with two doubles and one RBI for the Dodgers. Freddie Freeman added a home run and a double. He scored two runs.

ON THE MOUND

Bobby Miller (2-0, 1.06 ERA) is in line to start for Los Angeles. The righty threw six scoreless innings in his last start, a 4-1 home defeat against the Yankees on Sunday.

He scattered one hit while striking out seven and walking two in the no-decision.RHP Aaron Nola (5-4, 4.30 ERA) will toe the rubber for Philadelphia.

He has made one prior start against the Dodgers this season, giving up four runs over 6.1 innings in a 10-6 road defeat on May 3. He gave up seven hits while striking out five in the no-decision.

In his last start on Monday, Nola got the win at home against the Tigers. He threw seven innings and gave up three runs (0 ER) on one hit, striking out 12 and walking three in the 8-3 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Los Angeles has averaged 5.0 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 5.5. Against right-handed pitchers like Nola this season, the Dodgers have a .785 OPS, second highest in the league.

Martinez is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .992 OPS in 139 at-bats. Philadelphia is averaging 5.6 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.3 for the season, with a higher slash line (.258/.339/.472).

The Phils have a .746 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .848 OPS over 173 at-bats, Nick Castellanos has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Los Angeles is 16-18 away from home in 2023, scoring 5.4 runs per game while allowing 5.7 runs. Philadelphia has won five in a row at Citizens Bank Park.

The Phils are 18-10 at home this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game while surrendering 3.7. The teams have split their last 10 games head-to-head at Citizens Bank Park, though Los Angeles has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 5.3-3.6.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Dodgers are second in the NL West, two games behind the division-leading Diamondbacks. The Phillies are third in the NL East, eight games behind the Braves.