Free MLB Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7/6/23

Free MLB Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7/6/23
Thu 6th July 2023

The Baltimore Orioles (50-35) are on the road to face the New York Yankees (48-39) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday with the visitors looking to split the four-game series.

The Orioles won 6-3 on Wednesday for their first win of the series, their fourth head-to-head victory in nine games this season. Dean Kremer went seven innings, allowing two runs (1 ER) on four hits and striking out 10, to get the win, and Felix Bautista pitched 1.1 scoreless innings to earn his 23rd save.

Ryan O’Hearn was 1 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Josh Donaldson went 2 for 3 with a solo home run for the Yankees. Anthony Volpe added a home run and two runs.


Kyle Bradish (4-4, 3.58 ERA) is set to get the start for Baltimore. The RHP allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 1-0 road defeat against the Twins on Saturday.

He took the loss, scattering seven hits while striking out seven and walking one. Bradish has made one previous start against the Yankees this season, a 6-5 road loss on May 23. He surrendered four runs on seven hits over five innings, striking out three and walking three.

Right-hander Luis Severino (1-3, 6.30 ERA) will toe the rubber for New York. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Orioles. Severino made two appearances against the Orioles in 2022, both as the starter, striking out 12 and walking four over 12 innings (2-0, 3.75).

In his last start on Saturday, Severino took the loss on the road against the Cardinals. He threw four innings and gave up nine runs (7 ER) on nine hits, striking out two and walking three in the 11-4 defeat.


Over the last five games, Baltimore has averaged only 3.0 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.8, while slashing worse across the board (.226/.278/.351). Against right-handed pitchers like Severino this season, the O’s have a .733 OPS.

Gunnar Henderson is the team’s biggest slugger against right-handers with a .503 slugging percentage in 201 at-bats. New York is averaging 4.8 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.5 for the season.

The Yanks have a .704 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .429 OBP over 257 at-bats, Aaron Judge has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.


Baltimore is 24-17 in away games in 2023, scoring 5.2 runs per game while allowing 4.8 runs. New York has gone 27-20 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game while surrendering 3.8.

In the last 10 meetings at Yankee Stadium, each club has won five, though New York has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 4.2-3.5.


The Orioles are second in the AL East, five games behind the division-leading Rays. The Yankees are third in the AL East, eight games behind the Rays.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Baltimore Orioles (-120)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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