Free MLB Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7/3/23

Free MLB Picks Today: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles 7/3/23
Mon 3rd July 2023

Anthony Rizzo will be looking to extend his 17-game on-base streak as the New York Yankees (46-38) host the Baltimore Orioles (49-33) at Yankee Stadium on Monday for the first of a four-game series.

The Orioles are playing their first of seven games on the road after closing out a nine-game homestand (4-5). They won only one out of three in their last series against the Twins, taking the finale 2-1 on Sunday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Anthony Santander was 1 for 3 with one run.

The Yankees are back home for a seven-game homestand after returning from a six-game road trip (3-3). They lost three of four against the Cardinals in their last series, dropping the finale 5-1 on Sunday at Busch Stadium. Jake Bauers went 1 for 3 with a double and one RBI.


The AL East rivals have split their games this season 3-3, as the Orioles evened the season series with a 3-1 victory in their most recent meeting on May 25 at Yankee Stadium. Starter Kyle Gibson threw seven scoreless innings to get the win, and Yennier Cano pitched the ninth to earn his fourth save.


Tyler Wells (6-4, 3.21 ERA) is in line to take the mound for Baltimore. The RHP allowed two runs over six innings in his last start, a 3-1 road defeat against the Reds on Tuesday. He was charged with the loss, giving up four hits while striking out seven and walking one.

Over two previous starts against the Yankees this season, Wells has allowed nine earned runs over 11 innings (0-1, 7.36). He has struck out 14 and walked two. For New York, right-hander Domingo German (5-5, 4.54 ERA) is on the mound.

It’s his first appearance of the season against the Orioles. German made one start against the Orioles in 2022, throwing 5.1 innings in a 2-1 home defeat on September 30. He gave up three hits and walked three while striking out six in the loss.

In his last start on Wednesday, German threw a no-hitter in an 11-0 victory over the Athletics. He struck out nine en route to the win.


The Baltimore offense is averaging 4.8 runs per game for the season, with a slash line of .250/.319/.417. Austin Hays leads the team in OPS at .846.

The center fielder is slashing .313/.353/.493 with eight home runs, 34 RBIs, and 42 runs over 76 games. Over the last five games, however, Baltimore has averaged only 2.2 runs a game while performing worse across the board (.159/.246/.229).

Against righties like German this season, the O’s have a .733 OPS. Gunnar Henderson is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .875 OPS in 179 at-bats.

New York is slashing .232/.301/.409 for the season and averaging 4.4 runs per game. Rizzo leads the team with a .784 OPS. The first baseman has 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, and 39 runs scored with a slash line of .267/.360/.425.

New York is averaging 6.4 runs per game in the last five with a stronger on-base percentage (.362). The Yanks have a .702 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .751 OPS over 246 at-bats, Gleyber Torres has been their best hitter against right-handers.


Baltimore is 23-15 in away games in 2023, scoring 5.3 runs per game while allowing 4.7 runs. New York has gone 25-19 at Yankee Stadium this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game while surrendering 3.8.

The teams have split their last 10 games at Yankee Stadium, though New York has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 4.6-3.9.


The Orioles are second in the AL East, six games behind the division-leading Rays. The Yankees are third in the AL East, nine games behind the Rays.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Baltimore Orioles (-115)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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