Free MLB Picks Today: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 5/31/23

Free MLB Picks Today: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 5/31/23
Wed 31st May 2023

The New York Mets (28-27) host the Philadelphia Phillies (25-29) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The Mets took Tuesday’s series opener 2-0. Kodai Senga threw seven scoreless innings – striking out nine – for the win, and David Robertson picked up his ninth save with a scoreless ninth. Francisco Lindor went 1 for 3 with a solo home run in the win. Josh Harrison was 1 for 1 for the Phillies.

ON THE MOUND

Aaron Nola (4-3, 4.59 ERA) is slated to start for Philadelphia. The right-hander allowed five runs over six innings in his last start, an 8-5 road defeat against the Braves on Thursday.

He gave up eight hits while striking out seven and walking two in the no-decision. Nola is making his first appearance against the Mets this season.

Over five starts against the Mets in 2022, Nola was 0-4 with a 3.99 ERA over 29.1 innings. He had 38 strikeouts and six walks. For New York, right-hander Carlos Carrasco (1-2, 6.75 ERA) will toe the rubber. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Phillies.

Carrasco made one start against the Phillies in 2022, throwing 5.2 innings in an 8-6 home win on May 27. He gave up six hits and walked one, while striking out seven in the win.

In his last start on Thursday, Carrasco got the win on the road against the Cubs. He threw 6.2 innings and gave up one run on five hits, striking out four and walking two in the 10-1 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Philadelphia has averaged 3.4 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.2. Against right-handed pitchers like Carrasco this season, the Phils have a .743 OPS. Brandon Marsh is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a .841 OPS in 114 at-bats.

New York is averaging 6.8 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.5 for the season, with an improved slash line (.302/.369/.520). The Mets have a .727 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .877 OPS over 141 at-bats, Pete Alonso has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Philadelphia is 11-19 in away games in 2023, scoring 3.9 runs per game while allowing 5.7 runs. New York has won six in a row at home. The Mets are 13-9 at home this season, averaging 4.3 runs per game while surrendering 4.5. New York is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at Citi Field with an average scoreline of 4.5-2.4.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Phillies are fourth in the NL East, six games behind the division-leading Braves. The Mets are second in the NL East, four games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

NY Mets (-105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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