Free MLB Picks Today: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/29/23

Free MLB Picks Today: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/29/23
Thu 29th June 2023

The New York Mets (36-44) host the Milwaukee Brewers (42-38) at Citi Field on Thursday with the home team eyeing a split of the four-game series.

The Brewers lead the series 2-1 after winning 5-2 on Wednesday, their fifth head-to-head victory in six games this season. Reliever Bryse Wilson threw 1.2 scoreless innings to get the win, and Devin Williams picked up his 15th save with a scoreless ninth.

Christian Yelich was 3 for 5 with a double, one run, and two RBIs in the win. Tommy Pham went 3 for 3 with a solo home run for the Mets.


Adrian Houser (2-2, 4.02 ERA) is set to take the mound for Milwaukee. The RHP threw a scoreless inning in relief in his last appearance, a 7-1 road win over the Guardians on Friday. He yielded two hits while striking out one.

Houser is making his first appearance against the Mets this season. Over two starts against the Mets in 2022, Houser was 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA over 9.1 innings. He had three strikeouts and one walk. Righty Max Scherzer (7-2, 3.95 ERA) will take the mound for New York.

He has made one prior start against the Brewers this season, giving up five runs over 5.1 innings in a 9-0 road defeat on April 4. He gave up eight hits and walked two while striking out two in the loss.

In his last start on Saturday, Scherzer got the win on the road against the Phillies. He threw six innings and gave up two runs on seven hits, striking out eight and walking one in the 4-2 victory.


Over the last five games, Milwaukee has averaged 3.2 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.0. Against righties like Scherzer this season, the Brew Crew have a .686 OPS, the fifth lowest in MLB. Yelich is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .879 OPS in 210 at-bats.

New York is averaging only 4.0 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.5 for the season. The Mets have a .714 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .820 OPS over 206 at-bats, Brandon Nimmo has been their best hitter against right-handers.


Milwaukee is 20-20 away from home in 2023, scoring 3.8 runs per game while allowing 4.3 runs. New York has gone 18-17 at their home ballpark this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while surrendering 4.2. In the last 10 games between the teams at Citi Field, New York is 6-4 despite an average scoreline favoring Milwaukee (3.5-3.4).


The Brewers are second in the NL Central, zero games behind the division-leading Reds. The Mets are fourth in the NL East, 17 games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

NY Mets (-190)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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