Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets 9/20/22

The Milwaukee Brewers (78-69) host the New York Mets (94-55) at American Family Field on Tuesday. The Mets took Monday’s series opener 7-2, their fifth straight victory overall and third in four games against the Brewers this season. Max Scherzer threw six scoreless, no-hit innings- striking out nine – for the win. Pete Alonso was 1 for 4 with a home run, two runs, and three RBIs in the win. Christian Yelich went 2 for 4 with two doubles and one run for the Brewers.

ON THE MOUND

Carlos Carrasco (15-6, 3.70 ERA) is slated for the start for New York. The RHP is tied for fourth in the NL in wins. Carrasco allowed one run over six innings in his last start, a 7-1 road win over the Pirates on Thursday. He was credited with the win, giving up four hits while striking out 11 and walking two. Carrasco is making his first appearance against the Brewers this season. Carrasco made one start against the Brewers in 2021, an 8-4 road loss on September 26. He surrendered five runs on seven hits over four innings, striking out three and walking four. For Milwaukee, LHP Aaron Ashby (2-10, 4.58 ERA) takes the mound. He has made one prior start against the Mets this season, giving up four runs over 4.1 innings in a 5-4 road defeat on June 16. He gave up four hits and walked three, while striking out five in the no-decision. In his last start on August 19, Ashby took a no-decision on the road against the Cubs. He threw five innings and gave up six runs on eight hits, striking out eight, in the 8-7 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, New York has averaged 6.0 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.7, due in part to better on-base performance (.373 vs .332). Against left-handed pitchers like Ashby this season, the Mets have a .705 OPS. Starling Marte is the team’s strongest hitter against left-handers with a .877 OPS in 139 at-bats. Milwaukee is averaging only 4.4 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.5 for the season. The Brew Crew have a .750 OPS against right-handers in 2022, fifth highest in MLB. With a .508 slugging percentage over 313 at-bats, Rowdy Tellez has been their best power hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

New York is on a three-game winning streak on the road, bringing their record to 44-29 in 2022. The Mets have scored 4.9 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.1 runs. Milwaukee has gone 41-29 at home this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. In the last 10 meetings at American Family Field, Milwaukee is 9-1 with an average scoreline of 5.6-3.5.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Mets lead the NL East by one games over the Braves. The Brewers are second in the NL Central, eight games behind the Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, two games out of a postseason position.