Sandy Alcantara, one of this season’s stingiest pitchers, is set to take the mound for the Miami Marlins (-160) as they face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (+135) at American Family Field on Friday. Don’t be surprised to see a pitchers’ duel with the early total at 6.5 runs (O: +100 | U: -120). The Marlins (65-91) took Thursday’s series opener 4-2, their second head-to-head victory in four games this season. Reliever Tommy Nance threw one scoreless inning to get the win, and Dylan Floro picked up his ninth save with a scoreless ninth. Avisail Garcia was 1 for 4 with a home run and four RBIs in the win. Mike Brosseau went 1 for 1 with one run for the Brewers (83-73).
ON THE MOUND
Alcantara (14-8, 2.32 ERA) is in line to start for Miami. The right-hander ranks second in the NL in ERA. Alcantara allowed one run over eight innings in his last start, a 4-1 road win over the Nationals on Saturday. He earned the win, scattering three hits while striking out 11 and walking one. Alcantara is making his first appearance against the Brewers this season. Over two starts against the Brewers in 2021, Alcantara was 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA over 14 innings. He had 10 strikeouts and two walks. RHP Corbin Burnes (11-8, 3.11 ERA) will toe the rubber for Milwaukee. He has made one prior start against the Marlins this season, giving up one runs over seven innings in a 2-1 road win on May 13. He gave up five hits while striking out seven in the no-decision. In his last start on Saturday, Burnes got the win on the road against the Reds. He threw 6.1 innings and gave up two runs on four hits, striking out eight and walking three in the 10-2 triumph. The righty leads the NL in strikeouts (231).
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Miami has averaged 3.8 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 3.6. Against righties like Burnes this season, the Fish have a .677 OPS. Garrett Cooper is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a .785 OPS in 320 at-bats. Milwaukee is averaging only 4.0 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.5 for the season. The Brew Crew have a .750 OPS against right-handers in 2022, fifth highest in MLB. With a .848 OPS over 339 at-bats, Kolten Wong has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Miami is 33-45 away from loanDepot park in 2022, scoring 3.6 runs per game while allowing 4.1 runs. Milwaukee has gone 43-32 at American Family Field this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. In the last 10 meetings at American Family Field, each club has won five, though Miami has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 5.4-3.5.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 33 games behind the division-leading Mets. The Brewers are second in the NL Central, seven games behind the Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, zero games out of a postseason position.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Milwaukee Brewers (-190)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
