Sandy Alcantara, one of this season’s toughest pitchers, leads the way for the Miami Marlins (+100) as they match up against the Washington Nationals (-120) at loanDepot park on Saturday. The early total has been set at 7 runs with the under a -125 favorite. The Marlins (62-89) took Friday’s series opener 5-2, their 14th head-to-head victory in 17 games this season. Starter Braxton Garrett went six innings to get the win, giving up one run on five hits and striking out six, and Dylan Floro earned his sixth save with a scoreless ninth. Garrett Cooper went 2 for 3 with a double, one run, and one RBI in the win. Nick Fortes added one run on two hits. CJ Abrams was 2 for 3 with a double and one run for the Nationals (52-98).
ON THE MOUND
Erick Fedde (6-10, 5.29 ERA) is set to start for Washington. The righty faces the Marlins in back-to-back starts. He allowed three runs over four innings on September 17, a 5-3 road win. He yielded seven hits while striking out three in the no-decision. Over three previous starts against the Marlins this season, Fedde has allowed seven earned runs over 14.2 innings (0-1, 4.30). He has struck out 14 and walked six. For Miami, right-hander Alcantara (13-8, 2.37 ERA) gets the start. He has made four appearances against the Nationals this season, all starts, giving up three runs over 32 innings (3-0, 0.84) with 23 strikeouts and five walks. In his last start on Sunday, Alcantara went the distance for a complete game in a 3-1 victory over the Nationals. He allowed one run on seven hits en route to the win. The RHP ranks second in the NL in ERA.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Washington has averaged only 2.0 runs a game, down from their season average of 3.8, while performing worse across the board (.222/.266/.299). Against right-handed pitchers like Alcantara this season, the Nats have a .700 OPS. Luke Voit is the team’s strongest hitter against right-handers with a .824 OPS in 315 at-bats. Miami is averaging 4.4 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 3.6 for the season. The Fish have a .674 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .579 slugging percentage over 317 at-bats, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been their best power hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Washington is 28-48 in away games in 2022, scoring 3.9 runs per game while allowing 5.3 runs. Miami has gone 31-45 at their home park this season, averaging 3.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.3. In the last 10 games at loanDepot park between the NL East rivals, Miami is 7-3 with an average scoreline of 5.7-3.8.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Nationals are fifth in the NL East, 43 games behind the division-leading Mets. The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 33 games behind the Mets.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Miami Marlins (-250)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
