Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 6/1/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres 6/1/23
Thu 1st June 2023

The San Diego Padres (25-30) are on the road to face the Miami Marlins (29-27) at loanDepot park on Thursday with the three-game series tied at 1-1. The Marlins evened up the series 1-1 after winning 2-1 on Wednesday.

Reliever Steven Okert was credited with the win after throwing one scoreless inning. Jean Segura went 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI in the win. Gary Sanchez was 1 for 3 with a solo home run for the Padres.

ON THE MOUND

Joe Musgrove (2-2, 5.64 ERA) is in line to start for San Diego. The RHP allowed one run over 6.1 innings in his last start, a 5-1 road win over the Yankees on Friday. He was credited with the win, giving up six hits while striking out six.

Musgrove is making his first appearance against the Marlins this season. Over two starts against the Marlins in 2022, Musgrove was 0-1 with a 3.46 ERA over 13 innings. He had 13 strikeouts and one walk.

Southpaw Jesus Luzardo (4-3, 3.67 ERA) is on the mound for Miami. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Padres. Luzardo made one start against the Padres in 2022, throwing six innings in a 2-1 road defeat on May 5.

He gave up three hits and walked three, while striking out seven in the loss. In his last start on Friday, Luzardo got the win on the road against the Angels. He threw five innings and gave up one run on seven hits, striking out seven and walking one in the 6-2 victory.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, San Diego has averaged 4.8 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.1. Against lefties like Luzardo this season, the Padres have a .739 OPS. Manny Machado has the team’s best on-base percentage against left-handers at .449 over 44 at-bats.

Miami is averaging 4.4 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 3.7 for the season. The Fish have a .686 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .956 OPS over 139 at-bats, Luis Arraez has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

San Diego is 13-15 away from Petco Park in 2023, scoring 4.1 runs per game while allowing 4.3 runs. Miami has gone 15-12 at their home park this season, averaging 3.3 runs per game while surrendering 4.4. Miami is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings at loanDepot park despite an average scoreline favoring San Diego (3.9-3.6).

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Padres are fourth in the NL West, eight games behind the division-leading Dodgers. The Marlins are second in the NL East, four games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

SD Padres (-120)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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