Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/9/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/9/23
Sun 9th July 2023

Luis Arraez will be looking to extend his 22-game on-base streak as the Miami Marlins (52-39) host the Philadelphia Phillies (48-40) at loanDepot Park on Sunday with the three-game series all square at 1-1.

The Marlins evened the series 1-1 after winning 5-3 on Saturday, their third head-to-head victory in five games this season. Starter Braxton Garrett got the win, giving up three runs on six hits over five innings, and A.J. Puk picked up his 15th save with a scoreless ninth.

Jorge Soler went 1 for 2 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Arraez added one RBI on one hit. Trea Turner was 1 for 4 with a solo home run for the Phillies.


Aaron Nola (8-5, 4.30 ERA) is set for the start for Philadelphia. The RHP allowed one run over 7.1 innings in his last start, a 3-1 home win over the Rays on Tuesday. He got the win, yielding five hits while striking out 12 and walking one.

Nola has made one previous start against the Marlins this season, an 8-4 home loss on April 11. He surrendered four runs on nine hits over 5.2 innings, striking out six. Lefty Jesus Luzardo (7-5, 3.32 ERA) gets the ball for Miami.

He has made one prior start against the Phillies this season, giving up three runs over six innings in an 8-4 road win on April 11. He gave up eight hits and walked one while striking out five in the win.

In his last start on Tuesday, Luzardo got the win at home against the Cardinals. He threw six scoreless innings and gave up five hits, striking out eight and walking two in the 15-2 victory. The left-hander ranks fifth in the NL in strikeouts (120).


Over the last five games, Philadelphia has averaged 4.2 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.5. Against left-handed pitchers like Luzardo this season, the Phils have a .746 OPS.

Nick Castellanos is the team’s best performer against left-handers with a .958 OPS in 89 at-bats. Miami is averaging 6.6 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.2 for the season, with an improved slash line (.333/.397/.489).

The Fish have a .701 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .926 OPS over 256 at-bats, Arraez has been their best hitter against right-handers.


Philadelphia is 26-24 away from Citizens Bank Park in 2023, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 4.8 runs. Miami has gone 29-18 at home this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game while surrendering 4.0. Philadelphia is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at loanDepot Park with an average scoreline of 4.7-3.0.


The Phillies are third in the NL East, 11 games behind the division-leading Braves. The Marlins are second in the NL East, nine games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Miami Marlins (-120)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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