Free MLB Picks Today for Wednesday, July 28th, 2021

Free MLB Picks Today for Wednesday, July 28th, 2021
Wed 28th July 2021

Checkout our midweek MLB picks on the busy Wednesday afternoon of baseball! 

Look below to find our free MLB Picks for the five best games on today’s schedule!

Detroit Tigers @ Minnesota Twins – 1.10PM ET

The Tigers and Twins will kick off our Wednesday afternoon MLB schedule in Minnesota for what will be the third and final match of this series between the two AL Central rivals.

Jesse Livermore

Although the Twins are at home and they own an 8-5 lead in the season head to head record, I am going to take the Tigers on the road for Wednesday’s series finale. Detroit has been awesome since returning from the All-Star break, owning an 8-4 record in the second half of the season, including a three game series sweep over Minnesota. As well as that, the Tigers will have an advantage in the pitching matchup with Wily Peralta taking the mound. Peralta has allowed just one run on seven hits in 12 innings across two starts against Minnesota this season. Contrastingly, J.A. Happ owns a terrible 5.22 career ERA against the Tigers, as the Twins starter conceded seven runs against the division rivals last week. 

Jesse’s MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers (+122)

Tim Newton

I’m taking the Tigers to win the rubber of this three-game matchup with the Twins, despite Minnesota being at home. Wily Peralta is starting for Detroit and while he had a shocker last time out, he was fantastic in his three starts before that and has an ERA of 2.56 for the season. When facing the Twins, he has allowed just one run across 12 innings of work. Looking at his starting counterpart for Minnesota, J.A. Happ will have the ball in hand first and that is where I have Detroit getting their edge. Happ has a massive ERA of 6.14 and is just 5-5 so far this season. 

Tim’s MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers (+122)

Katherine Mouradian

Wow, talk about a close series! The first game was taken to 10 innings, where the Twins were victorious, 6-5, and then in the second game, it was taken to 11 innings, where the Tigers were able to strike back, winning by the same scoreline, 6-5. So, will there be another close game again in the final game of the series? Looking specifically at the starter for the Tigers, Wily Peralta, he has faced off against the Twins twice this month, and only allowed one run in his 12 innings. I like the chances of another good performance today, with the Tigers getting the win.

Katherine’s MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers (+122)

Washington Nationals @ Philadelphia Phillies – 7.05PM ET

In what is shaping up to be a big week for the NL East, the second placed Phillies will host the fourth placed Nationals in Philadelphia on Wednesday night, for what will be the third match of their four game series. 

Jesse Livermore

Given the discrepancy in the form of the starting pitchers in this matchup, I am going to take the Phillies with Zach Wheeler on the mound on Wednesday. Wheeler owns a 2.43 ERA through his last five starts and Philadelphia have won four of those matches. Contrastingly, Washington’s Patrick Corbin has a poor 6.58 ERA through his last five starts, with four of those games resulting in a loss for the Nats. Corbin also has a terrible 1-5 record on the road this season to go along with a 6.13 ERA. As well as that, the Nationals have struggled on the road recently losing eight of their last nine games outside of Washington, and we can’t see them correcting that against Zach Wheeler in Philadelphia on Wednesday.

Jesse’s MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-205)

Tim Newton

While Washington and Philadelphia have split the first two games of this matchup, I am all over the Phillies at home in this one. Not only are they 30-20 at home compared to Washington’s 19-29 on the road, but there is a massive disparity between the starting pitchers for this one. Washington has Patrick Corbin on the mound first up and the Phillies should be licking their lips. Corbin comes in with a 6-9 record thanks to a 5.71 ERA so far this season. On the other hand, Zack Wheeler gets the ball for Philadelphia and he brings an 8-5 record with a 2.37 ERA into the game and that will be more than enough for the home team to have the edge. 

Tim’s MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-105)

Katherine Mouradian

The Nationals seemed to be spiralling at the moment, as they lost five games in a row until the win yesterday, but at least their record on a Wednesday is pretty decent, they have won eight out of their previous 9 Wednesday games. The series with the Phillies is now level with two more games to go. Looking at the Phillies, they have won five out of their previous seven games at home, and have not won any of their last four games on a Wednesday. Despite this, I’ll still be backing the Phillies because they have won eight of their last 11 meetings in Philadelphia against the Nationals.

Katherine’s MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies (-205)

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Miami Marlins @ Baltimore Orioles – 7.05PM ET

Although both teams are currently sitting at the bottom of their respective divisions, the Marlins will be looking at Wednesday’s game as a chance to extend their active winning streak to four games and sweep the Orioles in this two game series in the process. 

Jesse Livermore

Although the Orioles are at home and they own a 3-1 record from their last four games at Oriole Park, I am going to take the Marlins on the road for this matchup. Miami has a 6-1 record from their last six games against Baltimore and although they are at the bottom of their division, the Marlins boast a +5 run differential this season, while the Orioles are -134 in that metric. As well as that, it is tough to pick Baltimore when they are starting Jorge Lopez. Lopez has thrown fewer than five innings in seven of his last eight starts, six of which were losses for the Orioles. Contrastingly, Miami’s Jordan Holloway has a 1.38 ERA form his last three starts and we like the right hander to continue that good form on Wednesday night. 

Jesse’s MLB Pick: Miami Marlins (TBD)

Tim Newton

I like Miami to sweep the two-game series in Baltimore tonight. While both sides have been miserable this season and seem to be sellers come the trade deadline, Miami’s pieces that they have are better, including the starting pitchers. Jordan Holloway has been throwing the ball nicely for the Marlins, especially of late, and comes in with a 3.21 ERA from his 12 appearances. Meanwhile, Baltimore’s bullpen has been miserable and Jorge Lopez is a contributing factor. Lopez is 2-12 with an ERA of 5.84 from his 20 starts this season, and the Miami offense, which just scored seven last night, should be able to take advantage.

Tim’s MLB Pick: Miami Marlins (TBD)

Katherine Mouradian

The Marlins got a fairly comfortable victory against the Orioles in the first game of this series, 7-3. The Marlins have now won three games in a row and if they can get another win here, they will have a lot of confidence going into the next series with the Yankees. The Orioles have won just four of the previous 13 games at home. When looking at the games between the Marlins and the Orioles specifically, the Marlins have won a very impressive 20 out of their previous 25 games. I’ll be backing the Marlins.

Katherine’s MLB Pick: Miami Marlins (TBD)

Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets – 7.10PM ET

In what is shaping up to be a big week for the NL East, the first placed Mets will host the third placed Braves in New York on Wednesday night, for what will be the fourth match of their five game series. 

Jesse Livermore

Although the Braves have been in solid form since the All-Star break, taking the Mets in New York is unquestionably the pick for this matchup, especially when considering that Max Fried will be taking the mound for Atlanta. Fried has a 5.32 ERA from four starts in July and the southpaw has struggled on the road this season, owning a lowly 6.55 ERA. As well as that, Mets rookie starter Tylor MeGill has been a revelation in 2021. MeGill threw six shutout innings against the Blue Jays in his last starts, giving him a 0.87 ERA from his last four outings, all of which the New York have won. 

Jesse’s MLB Pick: New York Mets (-130)

Tim Newton

The Atlanta Braves have been one of the more inconsistent teams of late, alternating wins and losses for their last 12 games. Even looking at this series, they had a 2-0 win, 0-1 loss and then won 12-5 last night. Last time they scored in double figures in a big win, they lost the next game and with sensational rookie, Tylor Megill, starting for the Mets, it may happen again. Megill threw a six-innings shutout in his last start, against a very good Toronto lineup, and should help bring the Braves offense back into line. Looking at Atlanta’s starter, they have Max Fried with the ball. While he has a 7-6 record for the season, Fried has lost his way a bit of late, currently sitting with an ERA of 4.46. His last performance will have impacted that, given he gave up four runs to the Phillies in just five innings of work and I like the Mets to be able to take advantage of this difference in pitchers, especially at home.

Tim’s MLB Pick: New York Mets (-130)

Katherine Mouradian

The Braves are putting up a good fight against the top of the NL East team, the Mets, having won the first and third game of this series. The game yesterday was very impressive by the Braves, and they won 12-5. Looking more closely at some of the key stats, the Braves have won just two of their previous Wednesday games, whereas the Mets have won six of their previous eight Wednesday games. As well as this, the Mets have won 25 of their previous 37 games at home. I like the look of the Mets to mount a comeback and get a win here.

Katherine’s MLB Pick: New York Mets (-130)

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Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Angels – 9.38PM ET

The Rockies and Angels will wrap up our Wednesday night MLB schedule in Los Angeles when the two teams meet for the third and final match of their series at Angel Stadium. 

Jesse Livermore

Unlike Colorado, Los Angeles are approaching each game with a ‘must win’ attitude as they press to stay in consideration for one of the two wildcard spots in the American League. Combined with the fact that the Rockies are a historically bad team on the road this season means I will be taking the Angels in this matchup. Los Angeles are 6-2 from their last eight home games against Colorado, while the Rockies are 6-14 from their last 20 road games and a dismal 11-37 outside of Colorado this year. 

Jesse’s MLB Pick: Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-118)

Tim Newton

While Colorado pulled one out of the hat last night, winning 12-3, I don’t think they will be able to do the same again in this one. Chi Chi Gonzales will start with the ball in this one and he has had a very poor season so far. Gonzales’ record is just 3-6 19 appearances, 15 of which were starts, and has an ERA of 6.06. Given that the Angels are 6th for OPS and 3rd for hits this season, this could be a mismatch that will see the home team bounce back in emphatic fashion. 

Tim’s MLB Pick: Los Angeles Angels (-230)

Katherine Mouradian

The Rockies put on a clinic the last time out against the Angels, winning by a very comfortable margin. This loss to the Rockies snapped a three game winning streak for the Angels, and on the flip side the Rockies win snapped their three game losing streak. Like many other teams, the Rockies don’t have a good away record this season, currently sitting at just 11-37. Although the Rockies got a convincing win yesterday against the Angels, I think the Angels are good enough to bounce back, and won’t let themselves be beaten by this team twice.

Katherine’s MLB Pick: Los Angeles Angels (-230)

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*Odds and spreads correct at time of publication, courtesy of FanDuel

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