Free MLB Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees 5/21/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees 5/21/23
Sun 21st May 2023

Luis Severino is in line for his first start of the season as the New York Yankees (28-20) match up against the Cincinnati Reds (19-26) at Great American Ball Park on Sunday with the visitors in position for a sweep of the three-game Interleague series.

The Yankees lead the series 2-0 after winning 7-4 in 10 innings on Saturday. Reliever Clay Holmes threw one scoreless inning to get the win, and Ryan Weber picked up his first save of the season with a scoreless ninth.

Aaron Judge was 4 for 4 with a double, one run, and three RBIs in the win. Luke Maile went 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs for the Reds.

ON THE MOUND

Severino is slated for the start for New York, his season debut. Last season, the righty made 19 starts and went 7-3 with a 3.18 ERA. He had 112 strikeouts and 30 walks over 102.0 innings. Severino made one start against the Reds in 2022, a 7-6 home victory on July 13.

He surrendered four runs on four hits over two innings, striking out one and walking two. For Cincinnati, RHP Hunter Greene (0-3, 3.69 ERA) will toe the rubber.

It’s his first appearance of the season against the Yankees. In his last start on Monday, Greene took a no-decision on the road against the Rockies. He threw four innings and gave up six runs on nine hits, striking out eight and walking one in the 9-8 loss.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, New York has averaged 4.6 runs a game, equal to their season average. Against righties like Greene this season, the Yanks have a .720 OPS.

Judge is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a 1.105 OPS in 105 at-bats. Cincinnati is averaging 4.6 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.3 for the season.

The Reds have a .704 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .930 OPS over 101 at-bats, Jake Fraley has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

New York is on a three-game winning streak on the road, bringing their record to 12-10 in 2023. The Yanks have scored 4.5 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.3 runs.

Cincinnati has gone 12-11 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game while surrendering 5.7. In the last 10 games at Great American Ball Park between the teams, New York is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 5.2-4.2.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Yankees are third in the AL East, six games behind the division-leading Rays. The Reds are fourth in the NL Central, five games behind the Brewers.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

NY Yankees (-145)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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