Free MLB Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets 5/10/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets 5/10/23
Wed 10th May 2023

The Cincinnati Reds (15-20) host the New York Mets (17-19) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The Reds took Tuesday’s series opener 7-6. Luke Weaver got the win, allowing four runs on four hits over six innings, and Alexis Diaz threw 1.1 scoreless innings to earn his seventh save.

TJ Friedl went 2 for 4 with a triple, two runs, and two RBIs in the win. Luke Maile added a double and one run. Francisco Alvarez was 2 for 4 with two solo home runs for the Mets. Pete Alonso added a solo home run.

ON THE MOUND

Justin Verlander (0-1, 3.60 ERA) is slated to get the start for New York. The RHP allowed two runs over five innings in his last start, a 2-0 home defeat against the Tigers on Thursday. He took the loss, giving up five hits while striking out five and walking one.

Righty Hunter Greene (0-2, 3.74 ERA) will take the mound for Cincinnati. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Mets. Greene made one start against the Mets in 2022, throwing 5.1 innings in a 7-4 home defeat on July 4.

He gave up seven hits and walked one, while striking out five in the loss.In his last start on Friday, Greene took the loss at home against the White Sox. He threw 5.2 innings and gave up five runs on seven hits, striking out seven and walking one in the 5-4 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, New York has averaged only 3.0 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.3, while performing worse across the board (.199/.277/.346).

Against righties like Greene this season, the Mets have a .711 OPS. Brandon Nimmo has the team’s best on-base percentage against right-handers at .396 over 63 at-bats.

Cincinnati is averaging only 4.2 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.3 for the season. The Reds have a .695 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .920 OPS over 94 at-bats, Jonathan India has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

New York is on a six-game losing streak on the road, bringing their record to 10-11 in 2023. The Mets have scored 4.6 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.7 runs.

Cincinnati has gone 11-8 at home this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game while surrendering 6.1. In the last 10 games between the teams at Great American Ball Park, New York is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 6.2-3.7.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Mets are third in the NL East, eight games behind the division-leading Braves. The Reds are fourth in the NL Central, five games behind the Pirates.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Cincinnati Reds (-160)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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