Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners 5/16/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Boston Red Sox vs Seattle Mariners 5/16/23
Tue 16th May 2023

Hot-hitting Ty France will be looking to extend his 12-game hitting streak as the Seattle Mariners (21-20) match up against the Boston Red Sox (22-20) at Fenway Park on Tuesday.

The Mariners took Monday’s series opener 10-1. Starter George Kirby went 6.2 innings for the win, allowing one run on eight hits.

Cal Raleigh was 3 for 5 with two home runs, three runs, and four RBIs in the win. Eugenio Suarez added a home run, two runs, and two RBIs. Rafael Devers went 2 for 4 with a double and one RBI for the Red Sox.


Luis Castillo (2-1, 2.70 ERA) is in line to get the start for Seattle. The righty allowed three runs over five innings in his last start, a 4-3 road defeat against the Rangers on Wednesday. He took the loss, scattering eight hits while striking out nine.

Castillo is making his first appearance against the Red Sox this season. Castillo made one start against the Red Sox in 2022, a 2-1 road victory for the Reds on May 31. He allowed one hit over six scoreless innings, striking out 10 and walking three.

For Boston, RHP Nick Pivetta (2-3, 6.23 ERA) takes the mound. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Mariners. In his last start on May 9, Pivetta took the loss on the road against the Braves. He threw four innings and gave up seven runs on eight hits, striking out two and walking three in the 9-3 defeat.


Over the last five games, Seattle has averaged 6.0 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.5, while slashing better across the board (.269/.332/.412). Against righties like Pivetta this season, the M’s have a .689 OPS.

J.P. Crawford is the team’s biggest on-base threat against right-handers with a .424 OBP in 102 at-bats. Boston is averaging only 3.2 runs per game in the last five, down from 5.4 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.245/.313/.374).

The Sox have a .798 OPS against right-handers in 2023, third highest in MLB. With a .936 OPS over 105 at-bats, Alex Verdugo has been their best hitter against right-handers.


Seattle is 11-8 on the road in 2023, scoring 4.9 runs per game while allowing 3.5 runs. Boston has lost four in a row in front of their home fans. The Sox are 13-11 at home this season, averaging 5.6 runs per game while surrendering 5.7. In the last 10 meetings at Fenway Park, Boston is 7-3 with an average scoreline of 6.1-5.3.


The Mariners are fourth in the AL West, four games behind the division-leading Rangers. The Red Sox are fifth in the AL East, nine games behind the Rays.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Seattle Mariners (-165)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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