The Atlanta Braves (+170) host the New York Mets (-200) at Truist Park on Sunday with the home team eyeing a sweep of the three-game series. The early total was set at 7.5 runs. The Braves (99-59) lead the series 2-0 after winning 4-2 on Saturday, their ninth head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Kyle Wright went five innings for the win, allowing two runs on seven hits, and Kenley Jansen earned his 39th save with a scoreless ninth. Austin Riley went 3 for 4 with a double and one run in the win. Dansby Swanson added a home run and two RBIs. Brandon Nimmo was 2 for 4 with one run for the Mets (98-60), stretching his on-base streak to 13 games.
ON THE MOUND
Chris Bassitt (15-8, 3.27 ERA) is slated for the start for New York. The righty is tied for fifth in the NL in wins. Bassitt allowed two runs over eight innings in his last start, a 9-2 road win over the Athletics on September 23. He was credited with the win, giving up six hits while striking out two and walking one. Over two previous starts against the Braves this season, Bassitt has allowed only four earned runs over 13 innings (1-1, 2.77). He has struck out 14 and walked three. For Atlanta, right-hander Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.29 ERA) gets the start. He has made three appearances against the Mets this season, all starts, giving up 10 runs (9 ER) over 17.1 innings (1-2, 4.67) with 21 strikeouts and seven walks. In his last start on September 25, Morton took a no-decision on the road against the Phillies. He threw 4.2 innings and gave up six runs on six hits, striking out four and walking three in the 8-7 victory.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, New York has averaged 5.2 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.7. Against right-handed pitchers like Morton this season, the Mets have a .749 OPS, fourth highest in the league. Jeff McNeil has the team’s best on-base percentage against right-handers at .381 over 443 at-bats. Atlanta is averaging 5.4 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.9 for the season. The Braves have a .754 OPS against right-handers in 2022, third highest in MLB. With a .354 OBP over 463 at-bats, Ronald Acuna Jr. has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
New York is 47-33 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.9 runs per game while allowing 4.2 runs. Atlanta has gone 54-26 at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game while surrendering 3.5. In the last 10 meetings at Truist Park, Atlanta is 7-3 with an average scoreline of 5.0-2.8.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Braves lead the NL East by one games over the Mets. Their magic number in the division is four. The Mets currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting first with a magic number of zero.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Atlanta Braves (-125)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
