Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/01/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers 9/01/22
Thu 1st September 2022

TheMilwaukee Brewers (+125) are on the road to face the Arizona Diamondbacks (-145) at Chase Field on Thursday for the first of a four-game series. The early total was set at 7.5 runs with the under a -115 favorite.The Brewers (69-60) are playing their first of seven games on the road after wrapping up a productive six-game homestand (4-2). They won two out of three in their last series against the Pirates, taking the finale 6-1 on Wednesday at American Family Field. Hunter Renfroe was 2 for 4 with one run.The Diamondbacks (61-68) are in the midst of a seven-game homestand. They won two of three against the Phillies in their last series, dropping the finale 18-2 on Wednesday at Chase Field. Jake McCarthy went 1 for 4 with a solo home run.The teams are meeting for the first time this season. Last season, the Brewers won six of the seven games between the teams, including two out of three in their most recent meeting at Chase Field in June.

ON THE MOUND

Brandon Woodruff (9-3, 3.31 ERA) is in line to start for Milwaukee. The RHP threw six scoreless innings in his last start, a 7-0 road win over the Cubs on Saturday. He gave up four hits while striking out 10 and walking one in the no-decision.Over two starts against the Diamondbacks in 2021, Woodruff was 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA over 12 innings. He had 18 strikeouts and three walks.RHP Merrill Kelly (11-5, 2.97 ERA) will toe the rubber for Arizona. Kelly made two appearances against the Brewers in 2021, both as the starter, striking out nine and walking two over 13 innings (1-0, 3.46).In his last start on Saturday, Kelly got the win on the road against the White Sox. He threw 7.1 innings and gave up four runs on five hits, striking out seven and walking one in the 10-5 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

The Milwaukee offense is averaging 4.6 runs per game for the season, with a slash line of .236/.317/.414. Rowdy Tellez leads the team in OPS at .801. The first baseman is slashing .231/.323/.477 with 27 home runs, 75 RBIs, and 51 runs over 122 games. Over the last five games, though, Milwaukee has averaged 6.2 runs a game while slashing better across the board (.310/.391/.494). Against righties like Kelly this season, the Brew Crew have a .758 OPS, second highest in the league. Kolten Wong is the team’s strongest hitter against right-handers with ann .863 OPS in 270 at-bats.Arizona is slashing .231/.310/.388 for the season and averaging 4.4 runs per game. Christian Walker leads the team with ann .807 OPS. The first baseman has 30 home runs, 73 RBIs, and 68 runs scored with a slash line of .231/.330/.478. Arizona is averaging 8.0 runs per game in the last five with a better slash line (.283/.354/.445). The D-backs have a .701 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .791 OPS over 332 at-bats, Daulton Varsho has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Milwaukee is 34-34 in road games in 2022, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 4.6 runs. Arizona has gone 34-33 at Chase Field this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.6. Milwaukee is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at Chase Field with an average scoreline of 5.2-3.1.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Brewers are second in the NL Central, six games behind the division-leading Cardinals. The Diamondbacks are third in the NL West, 28 games behind the Dodgers.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Milwaukee Brewers (-135)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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