Free NFL Picks Today: Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers 10/9/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers 10/9/22
Sun 9th October 2022

The San Francisco 49ers (2-2, 0-2 Away) travel to face the Carolina Panthers (1-3, 1-2 Home) at Bank of America Stadium on Sunday. The 49ers are 6.5-point favorites, and the total is 39. San Francisco is coming off a convincing 24-9 win over the Los Angeles Rams at Levi’s Stadium on Monday. Jimmy Garoppolo threw for 239 yards and a touchdown. Jeff Wilson Jr. ran 18 times for 74 yards and a touchdown. Deebo Samuel caught six passes for 115 yards and a touchdown. Carolina lost 26-16 to the Arizona Cardinals at Bank of America Stadium last Sunday. Baker Mayfield was 22 of 36 for 197 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. Christian McCaffrey carried eight times for 27 yards and added nine catches for 81 yards and a receiving TD.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2019, a 51-13 win for the 49ers.


The 49ers are averaging 17.8 points per game so far this season, 27th in the NFL, and they are facing a Panthers defense that has surrendered 21.3 PPG (13th). Meanwhile, Carolina has scored 19.5 points a game this season, 17th in the league, and San Francisco is allowing 11.5 PPG (1st). The 49ers rank 26th in the league in passing yards per game (199.5) and ninth in rushing (135.3), while the Panthers are 11th in passing yards allowed per game (220.8) and 25th against the run (134.0). Carolina has been one of the league’s least productive passing teams, averaging 186.8 passing yards per game (30th), while ranking 24th in rushing yards (96.3). San Francisco’s defense has proven stout through the air, as the 49ers are 4th in the league in passing yards allowed per game (189.0). Against the run, the 49ers are 2nd (73.3). San Francisco is averaging 2.5 trips to the red zone a game this season, zeroth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 40% of the time (31st). The 49ers may struggle to improve on those numbers against one of the league’s best red zone defenses, as the Panthers have allowed opponents to score on only 38% of red zone trips (4th). Carolina ranks as one of the weakest red zone threats in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line only 2.2 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on just 44% of those possessions (28th). San Francisco has been tough to beat when defending their own red zone, holding opponents to a conversion percentage of only 43% (5th).


Through three games, Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown for three touchdowns (1 INT) and 201.3 yards per game to lead San Francisco in passing. In one prior away game this season, he had one TD (1 INT) and 211 yards passing. Jeff Wilson Jr. leads the team in rushing with an average of 63.8 yards a game over four games. He has one touchdown on the ground. Deebo Samuel is the 49ers’ leading receiver with 61.5 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.5 receptions on 7.0 targets per game. Baker Mayfield has four passing touchdowns (3 INT) with 186.8 yards per game through four games to lead Carolina. In three home games this season, he has thrown for three TDs (3 INT) and an average of 200.7 yards. Christian McCaffrey has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 67.5 yards a game through four games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, racking up 34.5 yards a game through the air. He has two total touchdowns, one rushing and one receiving. Robbie Anderson has been a key target in the Panthers’ aerial attack. He has one touchdown and a 43.5 yard per game average through four appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

SF 49ers (-275)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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