The Cincinnati Reds (59-92) host the Milwaukee Brewers (81-70) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. The Brewers lead the series 2-0 after winning 5-3 on Friday, their fourth straight head-to-head victory and 12th in 17 games this season. Reliever Luis Perdomo threw 3.1 scoreless innings to get the win, and Devin Williams pitched 1.1 scoreless innings to earn his 14th save. Andrew McCutchen was 1 for 4 with a double, one run, and three RBIs in the win. Jonathan India went 1 for 4 with one run for the Reds.
ON THE MOUND
Corbin Burnes (10-8, 3.12 ERA) is slated to get the start for Milwaukee. The right-hander ranks second in the NL in strikeouts (223). Burnes allowed five runs over 5.2 innings in his last start, a 7-2 road defeat against the Mets on Monday. He took the loss, yielding seven hits while striking out four and walking one. Burnes has made one previous start against the Reds this season, a 4-2 home loss on August 7. He surrendered one run on two hits over six innings, striking out nine and walking two. Righty Graham Ashcraft (5-3, 3.97 ERA) gets the start for Cincinnati. He has made two appearances against the Brewers this season, both as the starter, giving up seven runs over 10.2 innings (0-1, 5.91) with seven strikeouts and four walks. In his last start on August 19, Ashcraft took a no-decision on the road against the Pirates. He threw 6.2 innings and gave up three runs on nine hits, striking out eight and walking one in the 5-4 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Milwaukee has averaged 4.6 runs a game, equal to their season average. Against right-handed pitchers like Ashcraft this season, the Brew Crew have a .750 OPS, fifth highest in MLB. Christian Yelich is the team’s biggest on-base threat against right-handers with a .374 OBP in 331 at-bats. Cincinnati is averaging only 3.0 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.1 for the season, with their slash line slipping across the board (.235/.299/.333). The Reds have a .673 OPS against right-handers in 2022, fifth lowest in the league. With a .617 OPS over 353 at-bats, Kyle Farmer has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Milwaukee is 39-40 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 4.6 runs. Cincinnati has gone 30-46 at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game while surrendering 5.1. In the last 10 meetings at Great American Ball Park, Milwaukee is 8-2 with an average scoreline of 6.4-4.6.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Brewers are second in the NL Central, seven games behind the division-leading Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, two games out of third. The Reds are fourth in the NL Central, 29 games behind the Cardinals.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Milwaukee Brewers (-225)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
