Free College Football Picks Today: Armed Forces Bowl 2022

The Baylor University Bears (6-6, 3-3 Away) travel to face the United States Air Force Academy Falcons (9-3, 6-1 Home) at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Thursday.

The Bears are four-point favorites, and the total is 43.5.Baylor is coming off a 38-27 loss to No. 24 Texas at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium/Jamail Field on November 25, their third consecutive defeat.

Blake Shapen was 18 of 36 for 179 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. Richard Reese ran 15 times for 54 yards. Josh Cameron caught four passes for 48 yards.

Air Force won for the fourth straight game on November 26, beating San Diego State 13-3 at Snapdragon Stadium. Brad Roberts carried 35 times for 187 yards and a touchdown.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Bears are averaging 33.6 points per game for the season, 32nd in FBS, and they are facing a Falcons defense that has surrendered 13.3 PPG (4th). Meanwhile, Air Force has scored 27.7 points a game this season, 73rd in the nation, and Baylor is allowing 26.6 PPG (65th).

The Bears rank 60th in the country in passing yards per game (235.1) and 32nd in rushing (194.1). They will face a tough test, as the Falcons are second in the country in passing yards allowed per game (156.7) and ninth against the run (99.8).

Air Force has been the nation’s top rushing team, averaging 330.9 yards per game, while ranking 131st in passing yards (67.8). The Bears are allowing 232.8 passing yards (81st) and 137.6 rushing yards per game (45th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through 12 games, Blake Shapen has thrown for 16 touchdowns (10 INT) and 216.8 yards per game to lead Baylor in passing. In six games away from home this season, he has nine TDs (2 INT) and an average of 203.8 yards passing.

Richard Reese leads the team in rushing with an average of 80.2 yards a game over 12 games. He has 14 touchdowns on the ground and three through the air. Monaray Baldwin is the Bears’ leading receiver with 70.6 yards a game and four TDs.

Haaziq Daniels has six passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 61.1 yards per game through 12 games to lead Air Force. Brad Roberts has been the team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 134.3 yards a game through 12 games.

He has 15 touchdowns. David Cormier has been a key target in the Falcons’ aerial attack. He has four touchdowns and a 48.0 yard per game average through eight appearances.

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.