Free College Football Picks Today: Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos 11/12/22

Free College Football Picks Today: Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos 11/12/22
Sat 12th November 2022

The University of New Mexico Lobos (2-7, 0-5 MWC) will be hoping to end their losing run when they travel to face the United States Air Force Academy Falcons (6-3, 2-3 MWC) at Falcon Stadium on Saturday. The Falcons are 21.5-point favorites, and the total is 37.5.

New Mexico is coming off a 27-10 loss to Utah State at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium last Saturday, their sixth consecutive defeat. Justin Holaday was 7 of 18 for 42 yards. Nathaniel Jones ran 21 times for 146 yards and a touchdown.

Luke Wysong caught three passes for 36 yards. Air Force beat Army West Point 13-7 at Globe Life Field last Saturday. Haaziq Daniels threw for 98 yards and an interception. Brad Roberts carried 33 times for 135 yards. David Cormier had four receptions for 89 yards.

HEAD-TO-HEAD

The Falcons won the only game between the teams last season, a 38-10 victory in October, their fourth straight win against New Mexico. Brad Roberts had two touchdowns for Air Force.

TALE OF THE TAPE

The Lobos are averaging 16.0 points per game for the season, 127th in FBS, and they are facing a Falcons defense that has surrendered 15.7 PPG (7th). Meanwhile, Air Force has scored 28.9 points a game this season, 70th in the nation, and New Mexico is allowing 25.1 PPG (58th).

The Lobos rank as one of the nation’s worst teams in passing yards per game (106.3, 126th), while they are 78th in rushing yards (140.7). They will be facing a particularly tough test through the air, as the Falcons are second in the nation in passing yards allowed per game (153.9).

Against the run, Air Force is 29th (121.0).Air Force has been the nation’s top rushing team, averaging 324.4 yards per game, while ranking 131st in passing yards (84.1). The Lobos are allowing 208.8 passing yards (36th) and 135.3 rushing yards per game (54th).

TOP PERFORMERS

Through eight games, Miles Kendrick has thrown for three touchdowns (7 INT) and 107.9 yards per game to lead New Mexico in passing. In three away games this season, he has zero TDs (3 INT) and an average of 121.0 yards passing.

Nathaniel Jones leads the team in rushing with an average of 56.8 yards a game over eight games. He has two touchdowns on the ground and two through the air. Geordan Porter is the Lobos’ leading receiver with 52.6 yards a game and two TDs.

Haaziq Daniels has five passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 75.2 yards per game through nine games to lead Air Force. In five home games this season, he has thrown for two TDs and an average of 73.8 yards.

Brad Roberts has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 119.8 yards a game through nine games. He has 13 touchdowns. David Cormier has been a key target in the Falcons’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 56.2 yard per game average through six appearances.

HOME AND AWAY

New Mexico is looking for a first road victory this season.

SportsTips’ College Football Pick:

Over 37.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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