Free NHL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers 3/7/23

Free NHL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers 3/7/23
Tue 7th March 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning (37-21-5) will be out to snap their losing run when they welcome the Philadelphia Flyers (24-28-11) at Amalie Arena on Tuesday. Philadelphia is coming off a 3-1 win over the Red Wings on Sunday, snapping a four-game losing streak.

Scott Laughton, Nicolas Deslauriers, and Noah Cates scored one apiece for the Flyers. Carter Hart saved an impressive 25 of 26 shots (.961%) in the win.

Tampa Bay is playing the first of four games at home after a 6-0 loss against the Hurricanes on Sunday, their fifth straight defeat. Andrei Vasilevskiy saved only 32 of 38 shots against (.842%) in the loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

The teams have split their two meetings this season, the most recent of which was a 4-1 victory for the Lightning in December. Nicholas Paul (2G 0A), Ian Cole (1G 1A), and Corey Perry (0G 2A) each had two points to lead Tampa Bay. Travis Konecny scored Philadelphia’s only goal. Vasilevskiy got the win, saving 21 of 22 shots (.954%).

FACING OFF

Philadelphia is averaging 2.62 goals per game for the season, 29th in the NHL, and they are taking on a Lightning team that is allowing 3.08 goals a game (15th).

Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has found the net 3.46 times a game on average, sixth in the league, and the Flyers are allowing opponents to score 3.25 goals per game (19th).

Expect multiple power play opportunities for the Flyers, as the Lightning have been penalized 4.48 times a game, fourth-most in the NHL, for an average of 11.33 minutes (fifth-highest). The visitors are averaging 3.86 penalties (13th) and 10.21 penalty minutes a game (8th).

The Lightning’s 25.57% power play percentage is the second-best in the league, while the Flyers rank 32nd with a conversion rate of only 15.64%. In terms of penalty killing, Tampa Bay has the league’s 14th-ranked PK% at 79.80%, while Philadelphia is 23rd at 75.86%.

TOP PERFORMERS:

With 54 points this season, Konecny is the top skater for the Flyers. He has 27 goals and 27 assists in 52 games. In the net, Hart (16-19-10) is Philadelphia’s top goaltender. He has a 2.93 GAA and a .907% save percentage.

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 88 points (3rd in the league). He has 23 goals and 65 assists (2nd) in 63 games. Vasilevskiy (28-15-3) is the top goalie for Tampa Bay with a goals against average of 2.61. He has a save percentage of .917%.

HOME AND AWAY

Philadelphia is 12-13-7 on the road this season. Tampa Bay is looking to avoid a fourth straight defeat at Amalie Arena this season.

SportsTips’ NHL Pick:

TB Lightning -1.5 (-120)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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