Free NHL Picks Today: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning 2/6/23

Free NHL Picks Today: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning 2/6/23
Mon 6th February 2023

The NHL’s two most penalized teams are set to meet at FLA Live Arena on Monday, as the Florida Panthers (24-22-6) welcome the Tampa Bay Lightning (32-15-1).

Tampa Bay is coming off a 5-2 win over the Kings on January 28, their third win in a row. Five players found the net for the Lightning. Nick Perbix had three assists to lead the team in scoring.

Andrei Vasilevskiy saved an impressive 26 of 28 shots (.928%) in the win. Florida beat the Bruins 4-3 (OT) on January 28. Four players found the net for the Panthers. Aleksander Barkov scored and provided two assists to lead the team in scoring. Alex Lyon was impressive in the win, making 37 saves (.925%).


The Lightning have won both games between the teams this season, including a 4-1 victory in their most recent meeting in December, their seventh straight win against Florida. Cal Foote led Tampa Bay with two points (0G 2A). Zac Dalpe scored Florida’s only goal. Vasilevskiy got the win, saving 24 of 25 shots (.960%).


Tampa Bay is averaging 3.62 goals per game for the season, fourth in the NHL, and they are taking on a Panthers team that is allowing 3.50 goals a game (24th).

Meanwhile, Florida has found the net 3.40 times a game on average, seventh in the league, and the Lightning are allowing opponents to score 2.92 goals per game (13th).

Florida averages more shots (35.4) than most teams in the league, ranking second, though the team’s 9.7% shooting percentage is 20th. With an average of 31.9 attempts, Tampa Bay ranks 15th.

Don’t be surprised to see a few power play opportunities during the game, as the Lightning and Panthers have more penalties per game than most teams in the NHL.

The Lightning are averaging 4.60 penalties/game, second-most in the league, while the Panthers have been penalized 4.90 times a game on average (32nd).

The Lightning’s 26.67% power play percentage is the third-best in the league, while the Panthers rank 11th with a conversion rate of 22.95%. In terms of penalty killing, Tampa Bay has the league’s 12th-ranked PK% at 80.89%, while Florida is 25th at 74.61%.


With 72 points this season, fourth-most in the NHL, Nikita Kucherov is the top skater for the Lightning. He leads the league with 53 assists and has added 19 goals of his own. In the net, Vasilevskiy (23-12-1) is Tampa Bay’s top goaltender.

He has a 2.51 GAA and a .918% save percentage. Matthew Tkachuk leads the Panthers in scoring with 66 points (7th in the league). He has 25 goals and 41 assists (6th) in 49 games. Spencer Knight (9-7-3) has the best goals against average for Florida at 3.06.

He has a save percentage of .906%. Sergei Bobrovsky (12-13-2) has played the most games in net for the Panthers this season. He has a 3.25 GAA and a .897% save percentage.


Tampa Bay is 12-11-0 away from Amalie Arena this season. Florida is 13-7-3 at home this season.

SportsTips’ NHL Pick:

TB Lightning (-120)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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