Free NHL Picks Today: Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs 3/2/23

Free NHL Picks Today: Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs 3/2/23
Thu 2nd March 2023

The Calgary Flames (-105) will be looking to snap their losing streak when they host the Toronto Maple Leafs (-115) at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday. The total is 6.5 (O: -115, U: -105)Toronto (37-16-8) is playing on back-to-back days after suffering a 5-2 loss against the Oilers yesterday, ending a run of three wins in a row.

The Maple Leafs committed five penalties in the game, conceding one power play goal. Mitchell Marner and David Kampf each scored once for the Maple Leafs. Marner added an assist to lead the team in scoring.

Ilya Samsonov only had 27 saves on 32 shots against (.843%) in the loss. Calgary (27-21-13) lost for the third game in a row, falling 4-3 (OT) to the Bruins on Tuesday.

Dillon Dube, Blake Coleman, and Jonathan Huberdeau each scored once for the Flames. Dan Vladar only had three saves on five shots (.600%) after starting in the loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

The Maple Leafs won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 5-4 (OT) victory in December. William Nylander led Toronto with five points (2G 3A). Noah Hanifin (2G 0A) and Andrew Mangiapane (0G 2A) each had two points to lead Calgary. Matt Murray got the win despite saving only 22 of 26 shots (.846%).

FACING OFF

Toronto is averaging 3.43 goals per game for the season, seventh in the NHL, and they are taking on a Flames team that is allowing 3.08 goals a game (15th). Meanwhile, Calgary has found the net 3.15 times a game on average, 16th in the league, and the Maple Leafs are allowing opponents to score 2.66 goals per game (6th).

Calgary averages more shots a game (35.8) than most teams in the league, ranking second, though the team’s 8.9% shooting percentage is 31st. With an average of 32.1 attempts, Toronto ranks 15th.

The Maple Leafs’ 25.41% power play percentage is the fifth-best in the league, while the Flames rank 19th with a conversion rate of 19.90%. When it comes to penalty killing, Toronto has the league’s 10th-ranked PK% at 81.87%, while Calgary is 13th at 81.22%.

TOP PERFORMERS:

Marner and Nylander have been the top skaters for the Maple Leafs this season with 76 and 72 points. Marner is the 10th-leading point scorer in the NHL.

Marner is among the league leaders with his 55 assists (4th). In the net, Samsonov (22-7-2) is Toronto’s top goaltender by goals against average.

He has a 2.30 GAA, fourth-best in the league, and a .918% save percentage.Tyler Toffoli and Elias Lindholm lead the Flames in scoring with 53 and 51 points, respectively. Toffoli has 25 goals and 28 assists in 61 games, while Lindholm has 17 goals and 34 assists in 59 games.

Vladar (12-6-5) has the best goals against average for Calgary at 2.95. He has a save percentage of .892%. Jacob Markstrom (15-15-8) has played the most games in net for the Flames this season. He has a 2.96 GAA and a .887% save percentage.

HOME AND AWAY

Toronto is 14-10-4 away from Scotiabank Arena this season. Calgary is 15-11-3 at Scotiabank Saddledome this season. Meanwhile, the Maple Leafs are 5-4 without a day off and 3-3 playing with a rest disadvantage. The Flames are 5-4 with a rest advantage.

SportsTips’ NHL Pick:

Calgary Flames (-125)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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