Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints 12/5/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints 12/5/22
Mon 5th December 2022

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-6, 3-3 Home) play host to the New Orleans Saints (4-8, 1-4 Away) at Raymond James Stadium on Monday. New Orleans is coming off a 13-0 loss against the San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium last Sunday. Andy Dalton was 18 of 29 for 204 yards. He also ran four times for 21 yards.

Chris Olave was targeted nine times, catching five passes for 62 yards. Tampa Bay lost 23-17 to the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium last Sunday. Tom Brady threw for 246 yards and two touchdowns. Rachaad White carried 14 times for 64 yards and added nine catches for 45 yards. Chris Godwin scored once. He was targeted 13 times, hauling in 12 receptions for 110 yards.


The Buccaneers won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 20-10 victory in September. Tom Brady threw one touchdown for Tampa Bay.


The Saints are averaging 20.8 points per game for the season, 20th in the NFL, and they are facing a Buccaneers defense that has surrendered 18.5 PPG (6th). Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has scored 18.2 points a game this season, 27th in the league, and New Orleans is allowing 23.3 PPG (20th).

The Saints rank 10th in the league in passing yards per game (249.7) and 22nd in rushing (113.2), while the Buccaneers are seventh in passing yards allowed per game (214.6) and 20th against the run (123.2).

Tampa Bay has been one of the league’s top passing teams, averaging 277.4 passing yards per game (5th), while ranking 32nd in rushing yards (73.0). The Saints are allowing 215.3 passing yards (8th) and 129.1 rushing yards per game (22nd).


Through nine games, Andy Dalton has thrown for 14 touchdowns (7 INT) and 224.8 yards per game to lead New Orleans in passing. In three away games this season, he has five TDs (5 INT) and an average of 246.3 yards passing. Alvin Kamara leads the team in rushing with an average of 52.4 yards a game over 10 games.

He’s also contributed to the aerial attack with 42.2 receiving yards a game. He has one touchdown on the ground. Chris Olave is the Saints’ leading receiver with 74.7 yards a game and three TDs. He is averaging 5.1 receptions on 8.4 targets per game.

Tom Brady has 14 passing touchdowns (2 INT) with 277.4 yards per game through 11 games to lead Tampa Bay. In six home games this season, he has thrown for nine TDs (1 INT) and an average of 311.7 yards.

Leonard Fournette has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 46.2 yards a game through 10 games. He also has been valuable as a receiver, accumulating 31.5 yards a game through the air.

He has six total touchdowns, three rushing and three receiving. Mike Evans has been the primary target in the Buccaneers’ aerial attack. He has three touchdowns and a 70.2 yard per game average through 10 appearances. Mike Evans is averaging 8.5 targets per game (5.1 receptions).

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

TB Bucs (-175)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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