Free NFL Picks Today: Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders 11/20/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders 11/20/22
Sun 20th November 2022

The Denver Broncos (3-6, 2-2 Home) welcome the Las Vegas Raiders (2-7, 0-5 Away), who will be hoping to snap their losing run, at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday. The Broncos are 2.5-point favorites, and the total is 41.

Las Vegas is coming off a 25-20 loss at the hands of the Indianapolis Colts at Allegiant Stadium last Sunday, their third consecutive defeat. Derek Carr was 24 of 38 for 248 yards and two touchdowns. Josh Jacobs ran 21 times for 78 yards and a touchdown.

Davante Adams was targeted 14 times, catching nine passes for 126 yards and a touchdown. Denver lost 17-10 to the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium last Sunday. Russell Wilson threw for 286 yards, a touchdown, and an interception.

Melvin Gordon III carried seven times for 24 yards and added four catches for 46 yards. Jalen Virgil scored once. He caught one reception for 66 yards.


The Raiders won the first meeting between the teams this season, a 32-23 victory in October, their fifth straight win against Denver. Russell Wilson tossed two touchdowns for Denver.


The Raiders are averaging 22.6 points per game for the season, 14th in the NFL, and they are facing a Broncos defense that has surrendered 16.6 PPG (1st). Meanwhile, Denver has scored 14.6 points a game this season, worst in the league, and Las Vegas is allowing 25.1 PPG (28th).

The Raiders rank 15th in the league in passing yards per game (244.9) and 24th in rushing (106.6). They can expect a tough test through the air, as the Broncos are second in the league in passing yards allowed per game (196.6).

Against the run, Denver is 13th (116.0).Denver is 14th in the league in passing yards per game (245.0) and 25th in rushing (103.6), while the Raiders are allowing 259.9 passing yards (24th) and 126.1 rushing yards per game (21st).

Las Vegas is averaging 3.0 red zone trips a game this season, fifth lowest in the NFL, finding the end zone 52% of the time (22nd). The Raiders may struggle to improve on those numbers against the league’s best red zone defense, as the Broncos have allowed opponents to score on only 29% of red zone trips.

Denver ranks as the least productive red zone offense in the league, advancing inside the 20-yard-line 2.2 times per game (33rd) and scoring a touchdown on only 35% of those possessions (32nd). Las Vegas has had difficulty defending their own red zone, allowing opponents to find the end zone 72% of the time (32nd).


Through nine games, Derek Carr has thrown for 13 touchdowns (5 INT) and 236.4 yards per game to lead Las Vegas in passing. In five away games this season, he has eight TDs (5 INT) and an average of 239.8 yards passing. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing with an average of 91.2 yards a game over nine games. He has seven touchdowns on the ground.

Davante Adams is the Raiders’ leading receiver with 87.1 yards a game and eight TDs. He is averaging 6.3 receptions on 11.0 targets per game. Russell Wilson has seven passing touchdowns (5 INT) with 247.5 yards per game through eight games to lead Denver. In three home games this season, he has thrown for one TD (3 INT) and an average of 225.7 yards.

Melvin Gordon III has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 31.9 yards a game through nine games. He has two touchdowns. Courtland Sutton has been the primary target in the Broncos’ aerial attack.

He has one touchdown and a 59.2 yard per game average through nine appearances. Courtland Sutton is averaging 8.1 targets per game (4.6 receptions).


Las Vegas is looking to taste victory on the road for the first time this season in five games.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Over 41.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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