Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers 12/4/22

Free NFL Picks Today: Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers 12/4/22
Sun 4th December 2022

The Atlanta Falcons (5-7, 4-2 Home) host the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-7, 2-4 Away) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday. The Steelers are one-point favorites, and the total is 42.Pittsburgh is coming off a 24-17 win over the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday. Kenny Pickett was 20 of 28 for 174 yards.

Benny Snell Jr. ran 12 times for 62 yards and a touchdown. George Pickens caught three passes for 57 yards. Atlanta lost 19-13 to the Washington Commanders at FedEx Field last Sunday. Marcus Mariota threw for 174 yards, a touchdown, and an interception. Tyler Allgeier carried 11 times for 54 yards. Olamide Zaccheaus was targeted eight times, hauling in five receptions for 91 yards.


The teams are meeting in the regular season for the first time since October 2018, a 41-17 win for the Steelers.


The Steelers are averaging 17.6 points per game for the season, 28th in the NFL, and they are facing a Falcons defense that has surrendered 24.4 PPG (25th). Meanwhile, Atlanta has scored 22.7 points a game this season, 14th in the league, and Pittsburgh is allowing 23.7 PPG (24th).

The Steelers rank 25th in the league in passing yards per game (218.4) and 21st in rushing (113.6), while the Falcons are 27th in passing yards allowed per game (265.8) and 21st against the run (127.5). Atlanta has been one of the league’s top rushing teams, averaging 160.0 yards per game (4th), while ranking 31st in passing yards (171.0). The Steelers are allowing 276.0 passing yards (30th) and 104.0 rushing yards per game (6th).


Through eight games, Kenny Pickett has thrown for three touchdowns (8 INT) and 200.0 yards per game to lead Pittsburgh in passing. In four away games this season, he has one TD (5 INT) and an average of 237.2 yards passing. Najee Harris leads the team in rushing with an average of 53.2 yards a game over 11 games. He has four touchdowns on the ground.

Pat Freiermuth is the Steelers’ leading receiver with 52.1 yards a game and one TD. He is averaging 4.7 receptions on 7.1 targets per game. Marcus Mariota has 14 passing touchdowns (8 INT) with 171.0 yards per game through 12 games to lead Atlanta.

In six home games this season, he has thrown for six TDs (3 INT) and an average of 166.0 yards. Tyler Allgeier has been the home team’s leading performer on the ground, averaging 50.2 yards a game through 11 games.

He has two total touchdowns, one rushing and one receiving. Olamide Zaccheaus has been a key target in the Falcons’ passing game. He has two touchdowns and a 38.8 yard per game average through 12 appearances.

SportsTips’ NFL Pick:

Atlanta Falcons (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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