Free NBA Picks Today: Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat 2/27/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat 2/27/23
Mon 27th February 2023

Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Philadelphia 76ers (39-20, 24-9 Home) play host to the Miami Heat (32-29, 13-19 Away) on Monday. Miami dropped their last game against the Charlotte Hornets 108-103 at Spectrum Center on Saturday, their fourth consecutive loss. With 33 points, Tyler Herro was the leading scorer in defeat. Jimmy Butler added 28 points and six assists.

The Heat are seventh in the Eastern Conference. Philadelphia lost a close one on Saturday at Wells Fargo Center, falling to the Boston Celtics 110-107. Joel Embiid had 41 points, 12 rebounds, five assists, and three blocks in defeat, leading the team.

The 76ers are the third seed in the Eastern Conference, three games behind the Boston Celtics. It’s the first meeting of the season between the teams. They last met in Game Six of the Eastern Conference Semifinals when the Heat knocked out the Sixers with a 99-90 victory at Wells Fargo Center in May 2022.

Miami and Philadelphia split their regular season matchups last season, each team winning two. The 76ers came out on top in the last meeting 113-106 at Wells Fargo Center in March 2022. Tyrese Maxey led the 76ers with 28 points. Butler had 27 points and six assists in defeat. The Heat have been led this season by Butler (21.9 ppg), Bam Adebayo (21.4), and Herro (20.7).

Adebayo also has grabbed 9.9 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Kyle Lowry is dishing 5.3 assists per game. Embiid has powered the Sixers’ offense, averaging 33.1 points per game. He ranks as the second-highest scorer in the league. Embiid also has collected 10.4 rebounds per game, ninth-most in the league.

James Harden has distributed 10.7 assists per game. Half-court execution will be paramount in this matchup that showcases a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams, as the Heat are 28th in possessions per game while the 76ers are 26th.

The 76ers have had success in recent matchups between the teams at Wells Fargo Center, winning seven of the last 10. Miami is looking to reverse a three-game road losing streak this season.

Miami is 4-6 in the last 10 games with an average margin of -4.5 (105.4-109.9). Philadelphia has a 7-3 record over the last 10, scoring 111.6 points per game on average while allowing 107.0 (+4.6 margin).


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Victor Oladipo: 5.0 | 17.5 | -12.5
Points per game:
Victor Oladipo: 1.0 | 10.4 | -9.4
Rebounds per game:
Kevin Love: 10.5 | 7.0 | +3.5
Assists per game:
Tyler Herro: 2.3 | 4.4 | -2.0


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Shake Milton: 5.2 | 14.4 | -9.2
Points per game:
De’Anthony Melton: 5.4 | 10.4 | -5.0
Rebounds per game:
Tobias Harris: 3.4 | 5.8 | -2.4

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Philadelphia 76ers (-250)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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