Free NBA Picks Today: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks 3/11/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks 3/11/23
Sat 11th March 2023

The Memphis Grizzlies (39-26, 27-5 Home), the NBA’s top shooting defense, play host to the Dallas Mavericks (34-33, 12-20 Away) on Saturday. Dallas lost to the New Orleans Pelicans 113-106 at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, their third loss in a row away from home.

Kyrie Irving led the way in the loss with 27 points and six rebounds. The Mavericks are the eighth seed in the Western Conference. Memphis won their sixth in a row at home in dominant fashion on Thursday at FedExForum, beating the Golden State Warriors 131-110.

Tyus Jones had 22 points and 11 assists to lead the team. The Grizzlies are the third seed in the Western Conference. This is the final meeting of the season between the teams.

After winning the only prior season game against Memphis 137-96 at American Airlines Center in October 2022, their fourth straight head-to-head victory, Dallas will be looking for a season sweep.

Luka Doncic led the Mavericks with 32 points, 10 assists, and seven rebounds. Ja Morant had 20 points in defeat. The Mavs have been led this season by Doncic, who is averaging 33.0 points per game, second-highest in the league. Doncic also is contributing 8.0 assists, sixth-most in the NBA, and 8.6 rebounds per game.

Morant has supplied much of the Grizzlies’ offense, averaging 27.1 points per game. He ranks as the ninth-highest scorer in the NBA. Morant also has recorded 8.2 assists per game, fifth-most in the NBA. Jaren Jackson Jr. has posted 6.6 rebounds per game.

Opponents are shooting 44.9% from the field against the Grizzlies, ranking as the NBA’s stingiest FG% defense. The Mavericks have had the advantage in the last 10 visits to FedExForum, winning seven.

Dallas is 3-7 in the last 10 games with an average margin of +0.4 (121.5-121.1). For the season, the Mavericks are averaging 114.0 points per game, compared to 113.2 for opponents. Memphis has split the last 10 (5-5), scoring 113.7 points per game on average while holding opponents to 111.2 (+2.5 margin).


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Christian Wood: 17.4 | 26.5 | -9.1
Points per game:
Christian Wood: 12.2 | 17.1 | -4.9
Rebounds per game:
Christian Wood: 4.8 | 7.7 | -2.9


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Xavier Tillman: 20.2 | 12.1 | +8.1
Brandon Clarke: 8.5 | 16.8 | -8.3
Points per game:
Tyus Jones: 14.2 | 10.1 | +4.1
Rebounds per game:
Brandon Clarke: 4.0 | 5.5 | -1.5
Assists per game:
Tyus Jones: 6.2 | 4.7 | +1.5

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Under 224.5 (-110)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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