Free NBA Picks Today: Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers 3/2/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers 3/2/23
Thu 2nd March 2023

The Philadelphia 76ers (40-21, 16-11 Away) are on the road to face the Dallas Mavericks (32-31, 20-12 Home) Thursday in what is likely to be a low-scoring game.

Philadelphia is playing on back-to-back days after dominating the Miami Heat 119-96 at FTX Arena yesterday. With 27 points and seven assists, Tyrese Maxey had a standout performance. The 76ers are third in the Eastern Conference.

Dallas lost a close one on Tuesday at American Airlines Center, falling to the Indiana Pacers 124-122. Luka Doncic had 39 points, eight rebounds, and six assists in the losing effort, leading the team. The Mavericks are the seventh seed in the Western Conference. The teams are meeting for the first time this season.

Philadelphia and Dallas split their matchups last season, winning one game apiece. The 76ers earned the win in the last meeting 111-101 at Wells Fargo Center in March 2022.

Joel Embiid led the 76ers with 32 points, while James Harden contributed 24 points, 12 assists, and seven rebounds. Jalen Brunson had 24 points in the loss.

Embiid is averaging 33.0 points per game, second-highest in the NBA, to lead the Sixers in scoring this season. Embiid also has grabbed 10.4 rebounds per game, eighth-most in the NBA. Meanwhile, Harden is dishing 10.6 assists.

Doncic has powered the Mavs’ offense, averaging 33.2 points per game. He has the top scoring average in the NBA. Doncic has also averaged 8.1 assists, sixth-most in the league, and 8.8 rebounds per game.

Half-court execution will be critical in this matchup that showcases two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams, as the Mavericks are 29th in possessions per game while the 76ers are 27th. The 76ers have not found much success at American Airlines Center in recent seasons, losing eight of the last 10 games.

Meanwhile, the 76ers are 6-2 when playing the second of a back-to-back this season and 3-2 in such games against opponents with at least a day of rest. The Mavericks are 5-1 with a rest advantage. In the last 10 games, Philadelphia is 6-4 with an average margin of +4.4 (109.2-104.8).

Dallas has gone 4-6 over the last 10, scoring 119.9 points per game on average while holding opponents to 117.4 (+2.5 margin). The Mavericks are averaging 113.5 ppg for the full season while allowing 112.7.


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Shake Milton: 4.6 | 14.2 | -9.6
Points per game:
De’Anthony Melton: 7.6 | 10.3 | -2.7
Rebounds per game:
Joel Embiid: 14.3 | 10.4 | +3.8
Tobias Harris: 3.4 | 5.8 | -2.4


(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points per game:
Tim Hardaway Jr.: 18.3 | 14.0 | +4.4

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Dallas Mavs (-155)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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