Free NBA Picks Today: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat 1/16/23

Free NBA Picks Today: Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat 1/16/23
Mon 16th January 2023

The Miami Heat (24-20, 10-11 Away), one of the NBA’s top scoring defenses, travel to face the Atlanta Hawks (21-22, 11-9 Home) on Monday. Miami topped the Milwaukee Bucks 111-95 at FTX Arena on Saturday, their third win in a row. With 27 points and five steals, Gabe Vincent was a top performer. The Heat are eighth in the Eastern Conference.

Atlanta triumphed on Saturday at Scotiabank Arena, beating the Toronto Raptors 114-103. Trae Young had 29 points and nine assists, carrying the team. The Hawks are ninth in the Eastern Conference.It’s the final meeting of the season between the teams.

After taking the only earlier season meeting against Atlanta 106-98 at State Farm Arena in November 2022, their third straight head-to-head victory, Miami will be seeking a season sweep. Bam Adebayo led the Heat with 32 points. John Collins had 23 points in the losing effort. Adebayo and Tyler Herro, averaging 21.5 and 21.2 points per game, respectively, are leading the Heat in scoring this season.

Adebayo also has grabbed 10.1 rebounds per game, 10th-most in the NBA. Meanwhile, Kyle Lowry is dishing 5.6 assists per game. Young (27.5 ppg) has supplied much of the Hawks’ offense. He has the ninth-best scoring average in the league. Young also has tallied 9.8 assists per game, second-most in the NBA.

Collins has averaged 7.9 rebounds per game. The Heat are holding opponents to 108.5 points per game, ranking as one of the top scoring defenses in the NBA (2nd). The Heat have come up short in recent trips to State Farm Arena, losing six of the last 10.

Atlanta is looking to avoid a fourth consecutive home loss this season. In the last 10 games, Miami is 7-3 with an average margin of +4.9 (111.2-106.3). Atlanta has a 4-6 record over the last 10, allowing 119.3 points per game on average while scoring only 116.1 (-3.2 margin).

HEAT HOT/COLD

(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Gabe Vincent: 21.8 | 14.4 | +7.4
Kyle Lowry: 14.5 | 23.1 | -8.6
Points per game:
Kyle Lowry: 7.0 | 13.1 | -6.1
Rebounds per game:
Tyler Herro: 4.0 | 6.0 | -2.0
Assists per game:
Jimmy Butler: 2.8 | 5.2 | -2.4

HAWKS HOT/COLD

(Last Five | Season Average | Differential)
Points + Rebounds + Assists:
Onyeka Okongwu: 24.0 | 18.0 | +6.0
Points per game:
Bogdan Bogdanovic: 10.0 | 16.0 | -6.0
Rebounds per game:
Onyeka Okongwu: 11.6 | 7.7 | +3.9

SportsTips’ NBA Pick:

Atlanta Hawks (-105)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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