Free MLB Picks Today: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins 9/17/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins 9/17/22
Sat 17th September 2022

Luis Garcia will be looking to extend his 19-game on-base streak as the Washington Nationals (-150) host the Miami Marlins (+130) at Nationals Park on Saturday. The early total has been set at 8 (O: -105 | U: -115).The Nationals (50-94) took Friday’s series opener 5-4, their second head-to-head victory in 14 games this season. Carl Edwards Jr. threw one scoreless inning in relief to get the win, and Kyle Finnegan picked up his ninth save with a scoreless ninth. Garcia went 1 for 2 with two walks and one run in the win. Joey Meneses added a home run and two runs. JJ Bleday was 2 for 4 with a double and one run for the Marlins (59-86).

ON THE MOUND

Trevor Rogers (4-11, 5.35 ERA) is in line for the start for Miami. The lefty allowed two runs over 6.1 innings in his last start, a 3-2 road defeat against the Rangers on Monday. He gave up four hits while striking out nine and walking two in the no-decision. Over three previous starts against the Nationals this season, Rogers has allowed only four earned runs over 16 innings (3-0, 2.25). He has struck out 13 and walked six. For Washington, RHP Erick Fedde (6-10, 5.08 ERA) is on the mound. He has made two appearances against the Marlins this season, both starts, giving up four runs over 10.2 innings (0-1, 3.38) with 11 strikeouts and six walks. In his last start on September 10, Fedde took the loss on the road against the Phillies. He threw 3.2 innings and gave up four runs on five hits, striking out one and walking four in the 8-5 defeat.

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Over the last five games, Miami has averaged 4.2 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 3.6. Against right-handed pitchers like Fedde this season, the Fish have a .675 OPS, fifth lowest in MLB. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been the team’s biggest slugger against right-handers with a .579 SLG in 301 at-bats. Washington is averaging 4.0 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 3.9 for the season. The Nats have a .682 OPS against southpaws in 2022. With a .757 OPS over 113 at-bats, Victor Robles has been their best hitter against left-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Miami is 30-43 away from home in 2022, scoring 3.6 runs per game while allowing 4.2 runs. Washington has gone 23-49 at home this season, averaging 3.7 runs per game while surrendering 5.3. Miami is 8-2 in the last 10 games between the NL East rivals at Nationals Park with an average scoreline of 4.5-3.6.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 31 games behind the division-leading Mets. The Nationals are fifth in the NL East, 40 games behind the Mets.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Miami Marlins (-135)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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