Julio Urias, one of this season’s toughest pitchers, is set to take the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers (+125) as they match up against the San Diego Padres (-145) at Petco Park on Wednesday. The early total has been set at 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120). The Padres (86-68) took Tuesday’s series opener 4-3 in 10 innings, their fifth head-to-head victory in 17 games this season. Reliever Pierce Johnson threw one scoreless inning to get the win. Brandon Drury went 1 for 4 with a double and one run in the win. Jorge Alfaro added one RBI on a walk. Trea Turner was 3 for 5 with a double and two runs for the Dodgers (106-48).
ON THE MOUND
Urias (17-7, 2.27 ERA) is in line to get the start for Los Angeles. The LHP leads the NL in ERA and is tied for second in wins. Urias allowed one run over 5.1 innings in his last start, a 3-2 home win over the Diamondbacks on Thursday. He yielded three hits while striking out five and walking one in the no-decision. Over three previous starts against the Padres this season, Urias has allowed only four earned runs over 18 innings (3-0, 2.00). He has struck out 13 and walked eight. For San Diego, righty Joe Musgrove (10-7, 3.12 ERA) is on the mound. He has made two appearances against the Dodgers this season, both as the starter, giving up seven runs over 12.1 innings (0-2, 5.11) with 15 strikeouts and two walks. In his last start on Thursday, Musgrove took a no-decision at home against the Cardinals. He threw five innings and gave up one run on five hits, striking out four and walking two in the 5-4 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Los Angeles has averaged only 3.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 5.3, while performing worse across the board (.213/.287/.335). Against right-handed pitchers like Musgrove this season, the Dodgers have a .790 OPS, highest in the league. Freddie Freeman is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .973 OPS in 410 at-bats. San Diego is averaging 6.6 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.4 for the season, with a better slash line (.249/.333/.431). The Padres have a .712 OPS against left-handers in 2022. With a .374 OBP over 137 at-bats, Ha-Seong Kim has their highest on-base percentage against left-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Los Angeles is 52-27 in road games in 2022, scoring 5.3 runs per game while allowing 2.9 runs. San Diego has gone 41-32 at Petco Park this season, averaging 3.8 runs per game while surrendering 3.8. Los Angeles is 7-3 in the last 10 games at Petco Park between the NL West rivals with an average scoreline of 5.8-2.6.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Dodgers lead the NL West by 20 games over the Padres. The Padres currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting second with a magic number of seven.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Los Angeles Dodgers (-135)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
