The San Diego Padres (+135) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (-160) at Petco Park on Tuesday. The early total was set at 7 runs (O: -120 | U: +100).The Diamondbacks (65-69) took Monday’s series opener 5-0, their fourth head-to-head victory in 13 games this season. Starter Ryne Nelson threw seven scoreless innings- striking out seven – for the win. Stone Garrett was 2 for 3 with a home run and a double in the win. He scored two runs. Jurickson Profar went 2 for 4 with two doubles for the Padres (74-62).
ON THE MOUND
Merrill Kelly (12-5, 2.84 ERA) is slated for the start for Arizona. The right-hander threw seven scoreless innings in his last start, a 5-0 road win over the Brewers on Thursday. He was credited with the win, giving up four hits while striking out seven. Over two previous starts against the Padres this season, Kelly has allowed only one earned runs over 10 innings (1-0, 0.90). He has struck out 12 and walked two. For San Diego, RHP Joe Musgrove (9-6, 2.96 ERA) gets the start. He has made one prior start against the Diamondbacks this season, giving up two runs over six innings in a 5-2 road win on April 9. He gave up five hits while striking out eight in the no-decision. In his last start on Wednesday, Musgrove got the win on the road against the Giants. He threw 6.2 innings and gave up three runs on three hits, striking out 11 and walking two in the 5-4 triumph.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Arizona has averaged 4.6 runs a game, a small gain compared to their season average of 4.4. Against righties like Musgrove this season, the D-backs have a .705 OPS. Daulton Varsho is the team’s strongest hitter against right-handers with a .798 OPS in 345 at-bats. San Diego is averaging only 3.4 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.4 for the season. The Padres have a .700 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .562 slugging percentage over 268 at-bats, Manny Machado has been their best power hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Arizona is on a four-game winning streak on the road, bringing their record to 28-35 in 2022. The D-backs have scored 4.2 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.6 runs. San Diego has lost three in a row at their home ballpark. The Padres are 35-29 at home this season, averaging 3.8 runs per game while surrendering 3.7. San Diego is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at Petco Park with an average scoreline of 4.0-3.1.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Diamondbacks are fourth in the NL West, 27 games behind the division-leading Dodgers. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, eight games out of third. The Padres are second in the NL West, 19 games behind the Dodgers. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting third with a magic number of zero.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
San Diego Padres (-165)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
