The Houston Astros (+150) are on the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies (-180) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday in Game 4 of the World Series with the home team looking to stretch their lead. The early total was set at 7.5 with the under a -120 favorite.
The Phillies lead the series 2-1 after winning 7-0 on Tuesday, their third head-to-head victory in six games this season. Starter Ranger Suarez threw five scoreless innings for the win. Brandon Marsh went 2 for 3 with a home run and two runs in the win. Kyle Schwarber added a home run, two runs, and two RBIs. Jeremy Pena was 1 for 3 for the Astros.
ON THE MOUND
Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA) is set to take the mound for Houston. The right-hander threw 5.1 scoreless innings in his last start, a 5-0 road win over the Yankees on October 22. He got the win, yielding one hit while striking out five and walking three. For Philadelphia, right-hander Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25 ERA) gets the start. He has made two appearances against the Astros this season, both as the starter, giving up five runs over 11 innings (1-0, 4.09) with 14 strikeouts and two walks.
In his last start on Friday, Nola took a no-decision on the road against the Astros. He threw 4.1 innings and gave up five runs on six hits, striking out five and walking two in the 6-5 victory. The right-hander ranks third in the NL in strikeouts (235).
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Houston has averaged 4.2 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.5. Against righties like Nola this season, the ‘Stros have a .726 OPS. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a 1.030 OPS in 308 at-bats.
Philadelphia is averaging 5.8 runs per game in the last five, up from 4.6 for the season, with a higher slugging percentage (.515 vs .422). The Phils have a .727 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .900 OPS over 380 at-bats, Schwarber has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Houston is 54-31 away from Minute Maid Park in 2022, scoring 4.5 runs per game while allowing 3.3 runs. Philadelphia has won six in a row at their home park. The Phils are 53-34 at home this season, averaging 5.0 runs per game while surrendering 4.0. In the last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park between the teams, Philadelphia is 8-2 with an average scoreline of 5.4-3.4.
The Astros won the AL West with a record of 106-56. The Phillies finished third in the NL East (87-75).
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Philadelphia Phillies (-105)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.