The Atlanta Braves (94-58) are on the road to face the Philadelphia Phillies (83-68) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday with the visitors eyeing a split of the four-game series. The Braves won 6-3 on Saturday for their first win of the series, their 10th head-to-head victory in 18 games this season. Starter Kyle Wright got the win, giving up two runs on two hits over 5.1 innings and striking out six, and Kenley Jansen picked up his 37th save with a scoreless ninth. William Contreras was 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Michael Harris II also went 3 for 4 with a home run and a double. He drove in two runs. Bryce Harper went 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs for the Phillies.
ON THE MOUND
Charlie Morton (9-6, 4.09 ERA) is in line to take the mound for Atlanta. The RHP ranks fifth in the NL in strikeouts (196). Morton allowed one run over 5.1 innings in his last start, a 3-2 home win over the Nationals on Tuesday. He got the win, scattering three hits while striking out nine and walking three. Over four previous starts against the Phillies this season, Morton has allowed 10 earned runs over 21.2 innings (0-1, 4.15). He has struck out 22 and walked eight. For Philadelphia, righty Kyle Gibson (10-7, 4.71 ERA) will take the mound. He has made two appearances against the Braves this season, both as the starter, giving up four runs over 11 innings (1-0, 3.27) with 12 strikeouts and three walks. In his last start on Tuesday, Gibson took the loss at home against the Blue Jays. He threw five innings and gave up seven runs on 12 hits, striking out three and walking one in the 18-11 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Atlanta has averaged only 2.4 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.9, partially thanks to weaker slugging (.357 vs .442). Against righties like Gibson this season, the Braves have a .751 OPS, fourth highest in MLB. Austin Riley is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .819 OPS in 441 at-bats. Philadelphia is averaging 5.6 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.7 for the season. The Phils have a .732 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With ann .846 OPS over 352 at-bats, Kyle Schwarber has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Atlanta is 42-32 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.8 runs per game while allowing 4.0 runs. Philadelphia has gone 47-33 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. In the last 10 games at Citizens Bank Park between the NL East rivals, Philadelphia is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 4.9-3.3.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Braves are second in the NL East, two games behind the division-leading Mets. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting first with a magic number of two. The Phillies are third in the NL East, 12 games behind the Mets. They currently occupy one of the Wild Card spots, sitting second.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Atlanta Braves (-130)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
