The New York Yankees (+140) host the Cleveland Guardians (-165) at Yankee Stadium on Monday in Game 5 with their American League Divisional Playoffs series tied after four games. The early total was set at 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120). The Yankees (101-65) leveled the series 2-2 after winning 4-2 on Sunday, their seventh head-to-head victory in 10 games this season. Starter Gerrit Cole got the win, allowing two runs on six hits over seven innings and striking out eight, and Wandy Peralta picked up his fifth save with a scoreless ninth. Harrison Bader went 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Josh Naylor was 1 for 4 with a solo home run for the Guardians (96-72).
ON THE MOUND
Aaron Civale (5-6, 4.92 ERA) is in line to start for Cleveland. The RHP allowed two runs over six innings in his last start, a 9-2 home win over the Royals on October 5. He was credited with the win, giving up five hits while striking out nine and walking one. Over two previous starts against the Yankees this season, Civale has allowed 10 earned runs over nine innings (0-2, 10.00). He has struck out nine and walked three. RHP Jameson Taillon (14-6, 3.91 ERA) is on the mound for New York. He has made two appearances against the Guardians this season, including one start, giving up three runs over five innings (1-1, 5.40) with five strikeouts and no walks. In his last appearance on Friday, Taillon took the loss at home against the Guardians. He threw zero innings in relief and gave up two runs on three hits in the 4-2 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Cleveland has averaged only 2.8 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.3, while performing worse across the board (.217/.260/.317). Against righties like Taillon this season, the Guardians have a .717 OPS. Steven Kwan has been the team’s biggest on-base threat against right-handers with a .386 OBP in 444 at-bats. New York is averaging only 3.4 runs per game in the last five, down from 5.0 for the season, with their slash line falling across the board (.175/.257/.344). The Yanks have a .745 OPS against right-handers in 2022, fifth highest in MLB. With a 1.142 OPS over 435 at-bats, Aaron Judge has been their best hitter against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Cleveland is 47-36 on the road in 2022, scoring 4.6 runs per game while allowing 3.8 runs. New York has gone 58-25 at Yankee Stadium this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game while surrendering 3.3. New York is 6-4 in the last 10 games between the teams at Yankee Stadium with an average scoreline of 4.7-4.7.
The Guardians won the AL Central. The Yankees finished first in the AL East.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Cleveland Guardians (+125)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.