Free MLB Picks Today: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/28/23

Free MLB Picks Today: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers 6/28/23
Wed 28th June 2023

The strikeout-prone Milwaukee Brewers (41-38) face a tough test at Citi Field on Wednesday against the New York Mets (36-43) and Kodai Senga, owner of this season’s best K/9 rate.

The Mets leveled the series 1-1 after winning 7-2 on Tuesday, their first head-to-head victory in five games this season. Starter David Peterson threw six scoreless innings for the win.

Brandon Nimmo went 2 for 4 with two home runs and three RBIs in the win. Francisco Lindor added a solo home run. William Contreras was 2 for 5 with one run for the Brewers.


Wade Miley (5-2, 2.91 ERA) is in line to get the start for Milwaukee. The left-hander threw six scoreless innings in his last start, a 7-1 road win over the Guardians on Friday. He got the win, scattering three hits while striking out three.

Miley has made one previous start against the Mets this season, a 9-0 home victory on April 4. He allowed five hits over six scoreless innings, striking out three. Righty Senga (6-5, 3.52 ERA) will toe the rubber for New York. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Brewers.

In his last start on Friday, Senga took the loss on the road against the Phillies. He threw 5.1 innings and gave up four runs (2 ER) on five hits, striking out six and walking three in the 5-1 defeat.


Over the last five games, Milwaukee has averaged 3.6 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.0. Against right-handed pitchers like Senga this season, the Brew Crew have a .684 OPS.

Christian Yelich is the team’s strongest performer against right-handers with a .867 OPS in 205 at-bats. New York is averaging only 3.8 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.5 for the season.

The Mets have a .713 OPS against left-handers in 2023. With a .889 OPS over 85 at-bats, Lindor has been their best hitter against left-handers.


Milwaukee is 19-20 away from home in 2023, scoring 3.7 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs. New York has gone 18-16 at Citi Field this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game while surrendering 4.2. New York is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings at Citi Field with an average scoreline of 3.8-3.8.


The Brewers are second in the NL Central, zero games behind the division-leading Reds. The Mets are fourth in the NL East, 16 games behind the Braves.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

NY Mets (-145)

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