Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets 9/21/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets 9/21/22
Wed 21st September 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (78-70) host the New York Mets (95-55) at American Family Field on Wednesday with the visitors looking for a sweep of the three-game series. The Mets lead the series 2-0 after winning 7-5 on Tuesday, their sixth straight victory overall and fourth in five games against the Brewers this season. Reliever Joely Rodriguez was credited with the win after throwing one scoreless inning, and Edwin Diaz pitched 1.1 scoreless innings to pick up his 31st save. Francisco Lindor was 2 for 3 with a home run, two runs, and four RBIs in the win, extending his on-base streak to 13 games. Willy Adames went 4 for 5 with two doubles, one run, and two RBIs for the Brewers. Andrew McCutchen added a double, one run, and one RBI.

ON THE MOUND

Taijuan Walker (12-4, 3.42 ERA) is in line to start for New York. The RHP allowed three runs (two earned) over 7.1 innings in his last start, a 4-3 home win over the Pirates on Friday. He got the win, giving up five hits while striking out five. Righty Adrian Houser (6-9, 4.85 ERA) gets the start for Milwaukee. He has made one prior start against the Mets this season, giving up four runs over 4.2 innings in a 4-0 road defeat on June 14. He gave up eight hits and walked one, while striking out three in the loss. In his last start on Friday, Houser took a no-decision at home against the Yankees. He threw three innings and gave up five runs (4 ER) on seven hits, striking out one and walking four in the 7-6 victory.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, New York has averaged 6.0 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.7, due in part to better on-base performance (.344 vs .331). Against right-handed pitchers like Houser this season, the Mets have a .756 OPS, third highest in MLB. Daniel Vogelbach is the team’s best performer against right-handers with a .880 OPS in 294 at-bats. Milwaukee is averaging 5.2 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.5 for the season. The Brew Crew have a .750 OPS against right-handers in 2022, fifth highest in the league. With a .375 OBP over 318 at-bats, Christian Yelich has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

New York is on a four-game winning streak in road games, bringing their record to 45-29 in 2022. The Mets have scored 4.9 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.1 runs. Milwaukee has lost three in a row at home. The Brew Crew are 41-30 at home this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. Milwaukee is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at American Family Field with an average scoreline of 5.7-3.9.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Mets lead the NL East by one games over the Braves. The Brewers are second in the NL Central, eight games behind the Cardinals. They are fourth in the Wild Card race, two games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

New York Mets (-125)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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