Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs Kansas City Royals 5/13/23

The Milwaukee Brewers (21-17) host the Kansas City Royals (12-28) at American Family Field on Saturday. The Brewers took Friday’s series opener 5-1. Corbin Burnes threw six scoreless innings – striking out seven – to get the win.

Owen Miller went 3 for 4 with a home run and a double in the win. He scored two runs. Christian Yelich added two RBIs on two hits. Freddy Fermin was 1 for 3 with a solo home run for the Royals.

ON THE MOUND

Zack Greinke (1-4, 5.18 ERA) is set for the start for Kansas City. The RHP allowed four runs (three earned) over 5.2 innings in his last start, a 12-5 road win over the White Sox on Monday.

He gave up six hits while striking out two and walking one in the no-decision. RHP Adrian Houser (0-0, 3.86 ERA) gets the start for Milwaukee. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Royals.

In his last start on Sunday, Houser took a no-decision on the road against the Giants. He threw 4.2 innings and gave up two runs on seven hits, striking out five and walking one in the 7-3 win.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Kansas City has averaged 5.6 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.1, while slashing better across the board (.250/.311/.440). Against right-handed pitchers like Houser this season, the Royals have a .663 OPS.

Vinnie Pasquantino is the team’s most potent producer against right-handers with a .886 OPS in 114 at-bats. Milwaukee is averaging 4.8 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 4.4 for the season.

The Brew Crew have a .745 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .896 OPS over 95 at-bats, Rowdy Tellez has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Kansas City is 6-11 in road games in 2023, scoring 3.8 runs per game while allowing 4.9 runs. Milwaukee has gone 11-8 in front of their home fans this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game while surrendering 3.7. The teams have split their last 10 games head-to-head at American Family Field, though Milwaukee has the scoring advantage with an average final margin of 4.5-4.1.