Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6/19/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks 6/19/23
Mon 19th June 2023

The Arizona Diamondbacks (43-29) take one of the best offenses in the league on the road to face the Milwaukee Brewers (37-34) at American Family Field on Monday for the first of a three-game series.

The Diamondbacks are playing their first of seven games on the road after wrapping up a seven-game homestand (3-4). They won two out of three in their last series against the Guardians, dropping the finale 12-3 on Sunday at Chase Field.

Christian Walker was 2 for 3 with a home run and a double. He had three RBIs. The Brewers are in the midst of a six-game homestand. They are coming off a three-game sweep of the Pirates, taking the finale 5-2 on Sunday at American Family Field.

Christian Yelich’s on-base streak reached 11 games as he went 2 for 3 with two doubles and one run. William Contreras added a triple, one run, and one RBI.


The Diamondbacks have won two of three in the season series between the teams, including a 7-3 victory in their most recent meeting on April 12 at Chase Field. Kyle Nelson threw 1.1 scoreless innings out of the bullpen to get the win.


Merrill Kelly (8-3, 3.04 ERA) is in line to take the mound for Arizona. The right-hander is tied for the NL lead in wins. Kelly allowed three runs over six innings in his last start, a 4-3 road defeat against the Phillies on Wednesday. He gave up three hits while striking out seven and walking four in the no-decision.

Kelly has made one previous start against the Brewers this season, a 7-1 home loss on April 11. He surrendered three runs on one hit over six innings, striking out seven and walking four. Right-hander Corbin Burnes (5-4, 3.44 ERA) will toe the rubber for Milwaukee.

He has made one prior start against the Diamondbacks this season, holding opposing hitters scoreless over eight innings in a 7-1 road win on April 11.

He gave up three hits while striking out eight in the win.In his last start on Tuesday, Burnes took a no-decision on the road against the Twins. He threw six innings and gave up three runs on seven hits, striking out eight and walking one in the 7-5 loss.


The Arizona offense is averaging 5.1 runs per game for the season, fifth best in MLB, with a slash line of .264/.329/.440. Four Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .800 or better, led by Corbin Carroll (.982). The center fielder is slashing .307/.389/.593 with 15 home runs, 38 RBIs, and 53 runs over 69 games.

Against right-handed pitchers like Burnes this season, the D-backs have a .780 OPS, third highest in MLB. Carroll also is the team’s strongest performer against right-handers with a 1.068 OPS in 173 at-bats.

Milwaukee is slashing .228/.306/.377 for the season and averaging 4.1 runs per game, second lowest in the NL. Yelich leads the team with a .785 OPS. The right fielder has nine home runs, 30 RBIs, and 49 runs scored with a slash line of .266/.361/.423.

The Brew Crew have a .695 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .849 OPS over 179 at-bats, Yelich also has been their best hitter against right-handers.


Arizona is on a five-game winning streak in road games, bringing their record to 20-11 in 2023. The D-backs have scored 5.6 runs per game away from home, while allowing 5.0 runs. Milwaukee has won three in a row at their home park.

The Brew Crew are 21-16 at home this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game while surrendering 4.1. Milwaukee is 8-2 in the last 10 games between the teams at American Family Field with an average scoreline of 4.4-2.5.


The Diamondbacks lead the NL West by four games over the Dodgers. The Brewers lead the NL Central by zero games over the Reds.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Arizona D-Backs (-105)

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