Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 9/20/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs 9/20/22
Tue 20th September 2022

The Miami Marlins (61-87) host the Chicago Cubs (62-85) at loanDepot park on Tuesday. The Marlins took Monday’s series opener 10-3, their second head-to-head victory in four games this season. Starter Edward Cabrera went five innings for the win, allowing three runs on three hits. Charles Leblanc went 2 for 4 with a home run and a double in the win. He scored two runs and drove in two. Jon Berti went 3 for 5 with a home run, two runs, and two RBIs. Christopher Morel was 1 for 3 with a solo home run for the Cubs.

ON THE MOUND

Adrian Sampson (2-5, 3.48 ERA) is in line to start for Chicago. The right-hander threw six scoreless innings in his last start, a 4-1 home win over the Mets on September 13. He earned the win, giving up two hits while striking out three and walking four. Sampson has made one previous start against the Marlins this season, a 3-0 home loss on August 7. He surrendered three runs on six hits over six innings, striking out four and walking one. RHP Pablo Lopez (9-10, 3.99 ERA) will toe the rubber for Miami. He has made one prior start against the Cubs this season, giving up four runs over five innings in a 4-0 road defeat on August 6. He gave up nine hits and walked two, while striking out six in the loss. In his last start on Thursday, Lopez got the win at home against the Phillies. He threw 6.2 innings and gave up two runs on four hits, striking out five and walking one in the 5-3 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Chicago has averaged only 3.0 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.0, while slashing worse across the board (.213/.283/.335). Against righties like Lopez this season, the Cubs have a .702 OPS. Willson Contreras is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with a .804 OPS in 296 at-bats. Miami is averaging 5.0 runs per game in the last five, up from 3.6 for the season, with a better slash line (.272/.332/.456). The Fish have a .674 OPS against right-handers in 2022, fifth lowest in the league. With a .792 OPS over 307 at-bats, Garrett Cooper has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Chicago is 31-41 away from Wrigley Field in 2022, scoring 4.1 runs per game while allowing 5.0 runs. Miami has gone 30-43 at their home park this season, averaging 3.6 runs per game while surrendering 4.4. In the last 10 games at loanDepot park between the teams, Miami is 6-4 with an average scoreline of 4.9-4.6.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Cubs are third in the NL Central, 24 games behind the division-leading Cardinals. The Marlins are fourth in the NL East, 32 games behind the Mets.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Miami Marlins (-150)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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