Free MLB Picks Today: Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves 5/3/23

The Miami Marlins (16-14) host the Atlanta Braves (20-10) at loanDepot park on Wednesday. The Braves took Tuesday’s series opener 6-0, their fourth head-to-head victory in five games this season. Bryce Elder threw seven scoreless innings to get the win. Ozzie Albies was 2 for 4 with a solo home run and a double in the win. Jon Berti went 1 for 2 with a walk for the Marlins.

ON THE MOUND

Kyle Wright (0-1, 4.86 ERA) is slated to get the start for Atlanta. The righty matches up against the Marlins in back-to-back starts. On Thursday, he threw three scoreless innings, a 5-4 road defeat. He scattered two hits while striking out six and walking one in the no-decision.

For Miami, southpaw Braxton Garrett (1-0, 2.45 ERA) takes the mound. His only prior start against the Braves this season was his last time out, when Garrett held opposing hitters scoreless over three innings in a 5-4 road win on Thursday. He gave up one hit while striking out three in the no-decision.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Atlanta has averaged 5.2 runs a game, equal to their season average. Against left-handed pitchers like Garrett this season, the Braves have an .836 OPS, third highest in the league.

Sean Murphy is the team’s most productive hitter against left-handers with a 1.093 OPS in 32 at-bats. Miami is averaging 3.8 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 3.3 for the season.

The Fish have a .658 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a 1.110 OPS over 71 at-bats, Luis Arraez has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Atlanta is 13-3 in away games in 2023, scoring 5.5 runs per game while allowing 2.4 runs. Miami has gone 10-7 at home this season, averaging 2.8 runs per game while surrendering 3.8. Atlanta is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings at loanDepot park with an average scoreline of 4.2-3.2.