Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets 5/3/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs New York Mets 5/3/23
Wed 3rd May 2023

The Detroit Tigers (10-17) host the New York Mets (16-13) at Comerica Park on Wednesday in a doubleheader. The Mets just wrapped up a rough six-game homestand (2-4). They won only one out of three in their last series against the Braves, splitting both games of a series-ending doubleheader on Monday at Citi Field.

They bounced back from a 9-8 loss in the opener with a 5-3 win in the second leg. Jeff McNeil was 2 for 4 with a home run and two runs in the finale.

The Tigers are in the midst of a six-game homestand. They lost three of four against the Orioles in their last series, dropping the finale 5-3 on Sunday at Comerica Park.

Jake Rogers went 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs. The teams are meeting for the first time since May 26, 2019, when the Mets finished off a 2-1 series win with a 4-3 victory at Citi Field.

ON THE MOUND

Max Scherzer (2-1, 3.72 ERA) is in line to start for New York in the first game of the doubleheader. The RHP threw three scoreless innings in his last start, a 5-3 road win over the Dodgers on April 19. He scattered one hit while striking out three and walking two in the no-decision.

Right-hander Michael Lorenzen (0-1, 7.07 ERA) gets the start for Detroit. Lorenzen made one start against the Mets in 2022, throwing 6.1 innings for the Angels in an 11-6 home win on June 11.

He gave up six hits and walked one, while striking out four in the win. In his last start on April 26, Lorenzen took the loss on the road against the Brewers. He threw five innings and gave up five runs on seven hits, striking out five and walking two in the 6-2 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, New York has averaged 4.6 runs a game, equal to their season average. Against righties like Lorenzen this season, the Mets have a .733 OPS. Brandon Nimmo is the team’s best performer against right-handers with a .887 OPS in 66 at-bats.

Detroit is averaging 4.0 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 3.3 for the season. The Tigers have a .612 OPS against right-handers in 2023, second lowest in the league. With a .803 OPS over 58 at-bats, Matt Vierling has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

New York is 10-7 on the road in 2023, scoring 4.9 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs. Detroit has gone 5-7 at home this season, averaging 4.0 runs per game while surrendering 5.3. In nine games between the teams at Comerica Park, Detroit is 5-4 despite an average scoreline favoring New York (6.7-5.7).

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Mets are second in the NL East, three games behind the division-leading Braves. The Tigers are third in the AL Central, five games behind the Twins.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

NY Mets (-165)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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