Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins 6/25/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins 6/25/23
Sun 25th June 2023

The Detroit Tigers (33-42) host the Minnesota Twins (39-39) at Comerica Park on Sunday with the three-game series all square at 1-1. The Tigers evened the series 1-1 after winning 3-2 on Saturday, their fourth head-to-head victory in six games this season.

Reese Olson got the win, allowing one run on four hits over 5.1 innings and striking out nine, and Alex Lange pitched 1.1 scoreless innings to pick up his 12th save. Eric Haase went 2 for 3 with one run and one RBI in the win. Carlos Correa was 2 for 4 with a solo home run for the Twins.

ON THE MOUND

Bailey Ober (4-4, 2.83 ERA) is set for the start for Minnesota. The right-hander allowed three runs over six innings in his last start, a 10-4 home defeat against the Red Sox on Tuesday. He took the loss, giving up eight hits while striking out four.

Ober is making his first appearance against the Tigers this season. Over two starts against the Tigers in 2022, Ober was 0-1 with a 5.59 ERA over 9.2 innings. He had seven strikeouts and two walks.

RHP Michael Lorenzen (2-5, 4.00 ERA) gets the ball for Detroit. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Twins. In his last start on Tuesday, Lorenzen took the loss at home against the Royals. He threw six innings and gave up one run on six hits, striking out seven and walking three in the 1-0 defeat.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Minnesota has averaged 4.2 runs a game, equal to their season average. Against righties like Lorenzen this season, the Twins have a .726 OPS. Byron Buxton is the team’s best performer against right-handers with a .822 OPS in 164 at-bats.

Detroit is averaging only 3.8 runs per game in the last five, consistent with their season average. The Tigers have a .656 OPS against right-handers in 2023, the second lowest in MLB. With a .834 OPS over 155 at-bats, Riley Greene has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Minnesota is 16-20 in road games in 2023, scoring 4.1 runs per game while allowing 3.7 runs. Detroit has gone 18-20 at their home ballpark this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while surrendering 5.1. Detroit is 6-4 in the last 10 games between the AL Central rivals at Comerica Park despite an average scoreline favoring Minnesota (3.6-2.9).

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Twins lead the AL Central by one game over the Guardians. The Tigers are third in the AL Central, four games behind the Twins.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Minnesota Twins (-125)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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