Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals 9/28/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals 9/28/22
Wed 28th September 2022

Hot-hitting Bobby Witt Jr. will be looking to extend his 10-game hitting streak as the Kansas City Royals (-190) match up against the Detroit Tigers (+160) at Comerica Park on Wednesday. The early total was set at 8 with the under a -120 favorite. The Tigers (61-92) took Tuesday’s series opener 4-3 in 10 innings, their fourth straight victory overall and eighth in 17 games against the Royals this season. Reliever Alex Lange threw one scoreless inning to get the win. Harold Castro went 3 for 5 with three RBIs in the win. Michael A. Taylor was 2 for 3 with a double and one run for the Royals (63-91).


Daniel Lynch (4-11, 5.06 ERA) is set to take the mound for Kansas City. The lefty allowed two runs (one earned) over four innings in his last start, a 5-2 road win over the Twins on September 21. He gave up four hits while striking out three and walking one in the no-decision. Over three previous starts against the Tigers this season, Lynch has allowed 12 earned runs over 12.2 innings (0-1, 8.53). He has struck out 11 and walked four. RHP Matt Manning (2-3, 3.43 ERA) is on the mound for Detroit. He has made three appearances against the Royals this season, all starts, giving up six runs (5 ER) over 12.1 innings (1-0, 3.65) with nine strikeouts and four walks. In his last start on September 21, Manning took the loss on the road against the Orioles. He threw 5.1 innings and gave up five runs (3 ER) on four hits, striking out four and walking five in the 8-1 defeat.


Over the last five games, Kansas City has averaged 6.0 runs a game, up from their season average of 4.0, while slashing better across the board (.297/.349/.494). Against right-handed pitchers like Manning this season, the Royals have a .677 OPS. Witt Jr. is the team’s best hitter against right-handers with a .732 OPS in 424 at-bats. Detroit is averaging 4.2 runs per game in the last five, up slightly from 3.4 for the season. The Tigers have a .708 OPS against southpaws in 2022. With a .849 OPS over 128 at-bats, Javier Baez has been their best hitter against left-handers.


Kansas City is 24-49 in away games in 2022, scoring 3.8 runs per game while allowing 5.1 runs. Detroit has gone 31-45 at their home park this season, averaging 3.4 runs per game while surrendering 4.5. Kansas City is 6-4 in the last 10 meetings at Comerica Park with an average scoreline of 4.1-2.9.


The Royals are fourth in the AL Central, 23 games behind the division-leading Guardians. The Tigers are fifth in the AL Central, 24 games behind the Guardians.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Detroit Tigers (-135)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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