The Baltimore Orioles (-150) are on the road to face the Cleveland Guardians (+130) at Progressive Field on Wednesday. The early total has been set at 8 runs with the under a -115 favorite.The Guardians (68-59) took Tuesday’s series opener 5-1, their third head-to-head victory in four games this season. Starter Cal Quantrill went six innings, allowing one run on one hit, to get the win. Josh Naylor went 1 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs in the win over the Orioles (67-61).
ON THE MOUND
Jordan Lyles (9-9, 4.61 ERA) is set to start for Baltimore. The RHP allowed two runs (one earned) over seven innings in his last start, a 4-3 road win over the White Sox on Thursday. He gave up nine hits while striking out two in the no-decision.Lyles is making his first appearance against the Guardians this season. Over two starts against the Guardians in 2021, Lyles was 1-1 with a 7.59 ERA over 10.2 innings. He had 11 strikeouts and two walks.For Cleveland, RHP Triston McKenzie (9-10, 3.11 ERA) gets the ball. He has made one prior start against the Orioles this season, giving up five runs over seven innings in a 5-4 road defeat on June 4. He gave up three hits and walked three, while striking out four in the loss.In his last start on Thursday, McKenzie took the loss on the road against the Mariners. He threw six innings and gave up three runs on three hits, striking out four and walking two in the 3-1 defeat.
AT THE PLATE
Over the last five games, Baltimore has averaged only 2.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.2, while performing worse across the board (.176/.251/.296). Against right-handed pitchers like McKenzie this season, the O’s have a .696 OPS. Cedric Mullins is the team’s most productive hitter against right-handers with ann .807 OPS in 329 at-bats.Cleveland is averaging only 2.4 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.3 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.211/.247/.295). The Guardians have a .716 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .385 OBP over 352 at-bats, Steven Kwan has their highest on-base percentage against right-handers.
HOME AND AWAY
Baltimore is 30-37 away from home in 2022, scoring 4.0 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs. Cleveland has gone 33-25 at their home ballpark this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while surrendering 4.0. Cleveland is 9-1 in the last 10 games between the teams at Progressive Field with an average scoreline of 7.1-2.9.
STANDINGS UPDATE
The Orioles are fourth in the AL East, 11 games behind the division-leading Yankees. The Guardians lead the AL Central by one games over the Twins.
SportsTips’ MLB Pick:
Cleveland Guardians (-165)
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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.
