Free MLB Picks Today: Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins 10/4/22

Free MLB Picks Today: Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins 10/4/22
Tue 4th October 2022

The Minnesota Twins (77-83) are on the road to face the Chicago White Sox (80-80) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Tuesday. The White Sox took Monday’s series opener 3-2, their eighth head-to-head victory in 17 games this season. Josh Harrison went 1 for 3 with a home run and two RBIs in the win. Gio Urshela was 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs for the Twins.

ON THE MOUND

Josh Winder (4-5, 4.31 ERA) is slated to get the start for Minnesota. The righty is facing the White Sox for the second consecutive start. He allowed three runs over 4.2 innings on Wednesday, an 8-4 road win. He gave up six hits while striking out six in the no-decision. Over two previous starts against the White Sox this season, Winder has allowed six earned runs over 13.2 innings (1-0, 3.95). He has struck out 11 and walked two. Right-hander Lucas Giolito (10-9, 5.05 ERA) is on the mound for Chicago. He has made three appearances against the Twins this season, all as the starter, giving up five runs over 14 innings (0-1, 3.21) with 20 strikeouts and eight walks. In his last start on Thursday, Giolito took a no-decision on the road against the Twins. He threw five innings and gave up two runs on four hits, striking out six and walking three in the 4-3 victory.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Minnesota has averaged only 3.2 runs a game, down from their season average of 4.3, thanks in part to diminished slugging (.329 vs .401). Against right-handed pitchers like Giolito this season, the Twins have a .724 OPS. Luis Arraez is the team’s best performer against right-handers with a .818 OPS in 430 at-bats. Chicago is averaging only 2.8 runs per game in the last five, down from 4.2 for the season, with their slash line dropping across the board (.193/.235/.317). The Sox have a .677 OPS against right-handers in 2022. With a .814 OPS over 479 at-bats, Jose Abreu has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Minnesota is on a three-game losing streak away from Target Field, bringing their record to 31-48 in 2022. The Twins have scored 4.3 runs per game away from home, while allowing 4.5 runs. Chicago has gone 36-43 at Guaranteed Rate Field this season, averaging 4.1 runs per game while surrendering 5.1. Chicago is 6-4 in the last 10 games at Guaranteed Rate Field between the AL Central rivals with an average scoreline of 5.1-4.7.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Twins are third in the AL Central, 13 games behind the division-leading Guardians. They are sixth in the Wild Card race, nine games out of third. The White Sox are second in the AL Central, 10 games behind the Guardians. They are fifth in the Wild Card race, six games out of a postseason position.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Chicago White Sox (-135)

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*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of BetMGM.

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