Free MLB Picks Today: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins 7/1/23

Free MLB Picks Today: Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins 7/1/23
Sat 1st July 2023

The Minnesota Twins (41-42) are on the road to face the Baltimore Orioles (48-32) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The Twins took Friday’s series opener 8-1. Starter Pablo Lopez went six innings to get the win, giving up one run on three hits and striking out six.

Byron Buxton was 2 for 4 with a home run and a double in the win. He scored two runs and had three RBIs. Joey Gallo added a home run and two runs. Adley Rutschman went 1 for 4 with a solo home run for the Orioles.

ON THE MOUND

Bailey Ober (4-4, 2.97 ERA) is set to get the start for Minnesota. The righty allowed three runs over six innings in his last start, a 6-3 home win over the Tigers on Sunday. He gave up five hits while striking out eight and walking one in the no-decision.

Righty Kyle Bradish (4-3, 3.75 ERA) gets the ball for Baltimore. It’s his first appearance of the season against the Twins. Bradish made one start against the Twins in 2022, throwing four innings in a 9-4 home win on May 4.

He gave up six hits and walked two while striking out three in the no-decision. In his last start on Sunday, Bradish got the win at home against the Mariners. He threw seven innings and gave up two runs on two hits, striking out seven and walking two in the 3-2 triumph.

AT THE PLATE

Over the last five games, Minnesota has averaged 3.4 runs a game, a small drop compared to their season average of 4.2. Against righties like Bradish this season, the Twins have a .726 OPS.

Buxton is the team’s strongest performer against right-handers with a .789 OPS in 172 at-bats. Baltimore is averaging only 4.4 runs per game in the last five, down slightly from 4.9 for the season.

The O’s have a .741 OPS against right-handers in 2023. With a .878 OPS over 176 at-bats, Gunnar Henderson has been their best hitter against right-handers.

HOME AND AWAY

Minnesota is 18-23 in road games in 2023, scoring 4.0 runs per game while allowing 3.6 runs. Baltimore has lost three in a row at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The O’s are 25-17 at home this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game while surrendering 4.5. Minnesota is 6-4 in the last 10 games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards between the teams with an average scoreline of 5.4-4.3.

STANDINGS UPDATE

The Twins lead the AL Central by one game over the Guardians. The Orioles are second in the AL East, six games behind the Rays.

SportsTips’ MLB Pick:

Baltimore Orioles (-140)

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